Derby County 2026/27: title, promotion and relegation chances
Derby County are 23rd in the Championship table with 7 points from 14 games. Derby win the title in 0%, win promotion in 0% and go down in 61% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Their most likely finish is 23rd (26% of seasons), averaging 43 points.
- Position
- 23rd
- Championship
- Points
- 7
- Played
- 14
- 1-4-9
- Form
Season chances
Champion
0%
1st
Promotion
0%
1st–2nd
Promotion play-off
<1%
3rd–8th
Relegation
61%
22nd–24th
Most likely finish
23rd
26%
Average points
43
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, starting from the real results so far. Updated every few hours.
Finishing position
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Share of the simulated seasons Derby finish in each place.
Toughest remaining games
The games Derby are least likely to win.
- Away11% to win
SouthamptonNov 21 · 1st in the table
- Away13% to win
MiddlesbroughDec 5 · 2nd in the table
- Away14% to win
Must-win games
Remaining fixtures
WinDrawLoss
- 06/11Nov 6Home49%25%26%
- 21/11Nov 21Away11%17%72%
- 24/11Nov 24Away14%21%64%
- 28/11Nov 28Home44%27%29%
- 05/12Dec 5Away13%19%68%
- 09/12Dec 9Home37%27%36%
- 12/12Dec 12Away25%26%49%
- 19/12Dec 19Home48%26%26%
- 26/12Dec 26Away34%26%39%
- 29/12Dec 29Home34%26%40%
- 01/01Jan 1Home39%27%34%
- 16/01Jan 16Away20%24%56%
- 23/01Jan 23Home33%26%41%
- 26/01Jan 26Away18%21%61%
- 30/01Jan 30Away33%26%41%
- 06/02Feb 6Home21%23%56%
- 13/02Feb 13Away15%21%64%
- 16/02Feb 16Home34%26%40%
- 20/02Feb 20Home34%26%40%
- 27/02Feb 27Away21%24%55%
- 02/03Mar 2Away28%24%47%
- 06/03Mar 6Home45%29%26%
- 13/03Mar 13Away29%27%44%
- 16/03Mar 16Home24%24%51%
- 20/03Mar 20Home50%25%25%
- 03/04Apr 3Away33%27%40%
- 07/04Apr 7Away19%25%55%
- 10/04Apr 10Home21%21%57%
- 17/04Apr 17Away19%24%58%
- 20/04Apr 20Home35%28%37%
- 24/04Apr 24Away23%26%51%
- 01/05May 1Home26%26%49%
Other Championship clubs
Birmingham City
Blackburn Rovers
Bolton Wanderers
Bristol City
Burnley
Cardiff City
Charlton Athletic
Lincoln City
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Norwich City
Portsmouth
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers
Sheffield United
Southampton
Stoke City
Swansea City
Watford
West Bromwich Albion
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wrexham