MLS play-off odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 19 April 2026
Nashville lead the play-off race at >99%. Real Salt Lake 4–2 San Diego moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
Up
Real Salt Lake54%71%+17 pts
Charlotte81%94%+13 pts
New England56%69%+13 pts
Down
Dallas45%32%−13 pts
NY Red Bulls50%39%−11 pts
Colorado46%35%−11 pts
Real Salt Lake beat San Diego 4–2 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 54% to 71%. Dallas drew 2–2 with LA Galaxy at home, and their play-off chances fell from 45% to 32%. Nashville lead the play-off race at >99%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Real Salt Lake 4–2 San Diego moved the odds the most. Real Salt Lake beat San Diego 4–2 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 54% to 71%. San Diego lost 4–2 at Real Salt Lake, and their play-off chances fell from 76% to 67%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- Nashville
- Vancouver
- Inter Miami
- San Jose
- Seattle
Show as a table
| Round | Nashville | Vancouver | Inter Miami | San Jose | Seattle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79% | 97% | 88% | 58% | 76% |
| 2 | 83% | 98% | 90% | 67% | 73% |
| 3 | 93% | 99% | 99% | 82% | 84% |
| 4 | 98% | 100% | 99% | 76% | 94% |
| 5 | 99% | 100% | 100% | 86% | 93% |
| 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% | 91% | 96% |
| 7 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 95% | 94% |
| 8 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 98% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 301 Nov
- Matchday 2924 Oct
- Matchday 2818 Oct
- Matchday 2711 Oct
- Matchday 261 Oct
- Matchday 2527 Sept
- Matchday 2420 Sept
- Matchday 2313 Sept
- Matchday 225 Sept
- Matchday 2130 Aug
- Matchday 2023 Aug
- Matchday 1916 Aug
- Matchday 188 Aug
- Matchday 171 Aug
- Matchday 1625 Jul
- Matchday 1517 Jul
- Matchday 1424 May
- Matchday 1324 May
- Matchday 1217 May
- Matchday 1110 May
- Matchday 103 May
- Matchday 926 Apr
- Matchday 819 Apr
- Matchday 712 Apr
- Matchday 64 Apr
- Matchday 522 Mar
- Matchday 415 Mar
- Matchday 38 Mar
- Matchday 21 Mar
- Matchday 121 Feb