Foot Simu
MLS 2026

MLS play-off odds after Matchday 20

After the games up to 23 August 2026

Nashville lead the play-off race at 100%.

Simulate the rest of the season

Biggest risers and fallers

Play-offs

Up

Down

Portland's play-off chances rose from 26% to 45%. Seattle's play-off chances fell from 47% to 19%. Nashville lead the play-off race at 100%.

Changes since Matchday 19, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

No game this round moved the odds by a point or more.

The play-off race

  • Nashville
  • Vancouver
  • Inter Miami
  • Chicago
  • LAFC
0%25%50%75%100%13579111315171920Nashville 100%Vancouver 100%Inter Miami 100%Chicago 99%LAFC 95%
Show as a table
RoundNashvilleVancouverInter MiamiChicagoLAFC
179%97%88%57%96%
283%98%90%71%99%
393%99%99%80%99%
498%100%99%63%100%
599%100%100%82%99%
699%99%99%86%100%
7100%100%98%89%99%
8100%100%100%91%97%
9100%100%100%96%99%
10100%100%99%93%98%
11100%100%100%81%98%
12100%100%100%96%86%
13100%100%100%97%84%
14100%100%100%97%90%
15100%100%100%97%96%
16100%100%100%92%99%
17100%100%100%95%99%
18100%100%100%95%99%
19100%100%100%98%98%
20100%100%100%99%95%

The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#ClubPlay-offs
1Vancouver>99%±0
1Nashville100%±0
2Houston94%+9 pts
2Inter Miami>99%±0
3Chicago99%+1 pt
3LAFC95%−3 pts
4New England93%+13 pts
4San Jose65%−21 pts
5Dallas87%+18 pts
5Charlotte92%+8 pts
6Cincinnati83%+9 pts
6St. Louis52%+5 pts
7Colorado26%+7 pts
7NYCFC65%−6 pts
8NY Red Bulls15%−8 pts
8Real Salt Lake32%−20 pts
9Portland45%+19 pts
9Orlando13%−2 pts
10Toronto13%+8 pts
10Minnesota38%+9 pts
11D.C. United4%−8 pts
11San Diego45%+4 pts
12LA Galaxy2%+1 pt
12Atlanta2%+2 pts
13Seattle19%−28 pts
13Philadelphia12%−6 pts
14CF Montréal1%+1 pt
14Austin<1%±0
15Columbus8%−12 pts
15Sporting KC0%±0

Chances after Matchday 20, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 19 below each.

All reports this season