MLS play-off odds after Matchday 22
After the games up to 5 September 2026
Nashville lead the play-off race at 100%. Vancouver 1–3 St. Louis moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
St. Louis won 3–1 at Vancouver, and their play-off chances rose from 52% to 80%. San Diego lost 1–0 at Orlando, and their play-off chances fell from 58% to 42%. Nashville lead the play-off race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 21, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Vancouver 1–3 St. Louis moved the odds the most. St. Louis won 3–1 at Vancouver, and their play-off chances rose from 52% to 80%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- Nashville
- Inter Miami
- Vancouver
- Chicago
- Houston
Show as a table
| Round | Nashville | Inter Miami | Vancouver | Chicago | Houston |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79% | 88% | 97% | 57% | 32% |
| 2 | 83% | 90% | 98% | 71% | 16% |
| 3 | 93% | 99% | 99% | 80% | 16% |
| 4 | 98% | 99% | 100% | 63% | 23% |
| 5 | 99% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 17% |
| 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% | 86% | 9% |
| 7 | 100% | 98% | 100% | 89% | 4% |
| 8 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 91% | 8% |
| 9 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% | 12% |
| 10 | 100% | 99% | 100% | 93% | 16% |
| 11 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 81% | 15% |
| 12 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 96% | 38% |
| 13 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97% | 40% |
| 14 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97% | 40% |
| 15 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97% | 39% |
| 16 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 49% |
| 17 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 66% |
| 18 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | 81% |
| 19 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 98% | 85% |
| 20 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 94% |
| 21 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 95% |
| 22 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 96% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
Chances after Matchday 22, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 21 below each.
All reports this season
- Matchday 301 Nov
- Matchday 2924 Oct
- Matchday 2818 Oct
- Matchday 2711 Oct
- Matchday 261 Oct
- Matchday 2527 Sept
- Matchday 2420 Sept
- Matchday 2313 Sept
- Matchday 225 Sept
- Matchday 2130 Aug
- Matchday 2023 Aug
- Matchday 1916 Aug
- Matchday 188 Aug
- Matchday 171 Aug
- Matchday 1625 Jul
- Matchday 1517 Jul
- Matchday 1424 May
- Matchday 1324 May
- Matchday 1217 May
- Matchday 1110 May
- Matchday 103 May
- Matchday 926 Apr
- Matchday 819 Apr
- Matchday 712 Apr
- Matchday 64 Apr
- Matchday 522 Mar
- Matchday 415 Mar
- Matchday 38 Mar
- Matchday 21 Mar
- Matchday 121 Feb