Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 15
After the games up to 1 November 2026Latest
América lead the play-off race at 100%. Atl. San Luis 0–1 Atlas moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
Down
Atl. San Luis33%8%−25 pts
Queretaro66%43%−23 pts
León52%41%−11 pts
Santos beat Necaxa 1–0 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 31% to 54%. Atl. San Luis lost 1–0 to Atlas at home, and their play-off chances fell from 33% to 8%. América lead the play-off race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 14, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Atl. San Luis 0–1 Atlas moved the odds the most. Atl. San Luis lost 1–0 to Atlas at home, and their play-off chances fell from 33% to 8%. Atlas won 1–0 at Atl. San Luis, and their play-off chances rose from 89% to >99%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- América
- Guadalajara
- Cruz Azul
- Atlas
- Toluca
Show as a table
| Round | América | Guadalajara | Cruz Azul | Atlas | Toluca |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79% | 60% | 89% | 31% | 95% |
| 2 | 72% | 68% | 91% | 44% | 88% |
| 3 | 86% | 61% | 77% | 27% | 93% |
| 4 | 94% | 70% | 67% | 49% | 91% |
| 5 | 96% | 85% | 41% | 74% | 95% |
| 6 | 99% | 86% | 59% | 58% | 98% |
| 7 | 98% | 95% | 68% | 51% | 98% |
| 8 | 96% | 98% | 78% | 37% | 99% |
| 9 | 97% | 99% | 70% | 38% | 99% |
| 10 | 99% | 97% | 73% | 66% | 99% |
| 11 | 99% | 96% | 73% | 71% | 98% |
| 12 | 100% | 96% | 86% | 87% | 96% |
| 13 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 74% | 93% |
| 14 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 91% |
| 15 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AméricaAmérica | 29 | 100%±0 |
| 2 |  GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 29 | 100%±0 |
| 3 |  Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 29 | 100%±0 |
| 4 |  AtlasAtlas | 27 | >99%+11 pts |
| 5 |  TolucaToluca | 24 | 92%+1 pt |
| 6 |  TijuanaTijuana | 22 | 78%+9 pts |
| 7 | LeónLeón | 22 | 41%−11 pts |
| 8 |  SantosSantos | 22 | 54%+23 pts |
| 9 |  MonterreyMonterrey | 21 | 56%−3 pts |
| 10 |  UNAMPumas UNAM | 20 | 15%+9 pts |
| 11 | QueretaroQuerétaro | 20 | 43%−23 pts |
| 12 |  PachucaPachuca | 19 | 13%+9 pts |
| 13 | Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis | 19 | 8%−25 pts |
| 14 |  PueblaPuebla | 16 | 0%−1 pt |
| 15 |  TigresTigres UANL | 15 | 0%−1 pt |
| 16 |  AtlanteAtlante | 14 | 0%±0 |
| 17 |  NecaxaNecaxa | 10 | 0%±0 |
| 18 |  JuárezFC Juárez | 8 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 15, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 14 below each.