Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 27 September 2026
América lead the play-off race at 99%. Tijuana 2–3 Atlas moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
Atlas won 3–2 at Tijuana, and their play-off chances rose from 38% to 66%. UNAM lost 3–2 to Atl. San Luis at home, and their play-off chances fell from 50% to 28%. América lead the play-off race at 99%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Tijuana 2–3 Atlas moved the odds the most. Tijuana lost 3–2 to Atlas at home, and their play-off chances fell from 84% to 70%. Atlas won 3–2 at Tijuana, and their play-off chances rose from 38% to 66%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- América
- Toluca
- Guadalajara
- Queretaro
- Cruz Azul
Show as a table
| Round | América | Toluca | Guadalajara | Queretaro | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79% | 95% | 60% | 11% | 89% |
| 2 | 72% | 88% | 68% | 25% | 91% |
| 3 | 86% | 93% | 61% | 47% | 77% |
| 4 | 94% | 91% | 70% | 45% | 67% |
| 5 | 96% | 95% | 85% | 36% | 41% |
| 6 | 99% | 98% | 86% | 64% | 59% |
| 7 | 98% | 98% | 95% | 63% | 68% |
| 8 | 96% | 99% | 98% | 80% | 78% |
| 9 | 97% | 99% | 99% | 76% | 70% |
| 10 | 99% | 99% | 97% | 93% | 73% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  TolucaToluca | 20 | 99%±0 |
| 2 |  AméricaAmérica | 20 | 99%+2 pts |
| 3 |  GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 18 | 97%−2 pts |
| 4 |  QueretaroQuerétaro | 17 | 93%+17 pts |
| 5 |  LeónLeón | 17 | 47%+14 pts |
| 6 |  AtlasAtlas | 17 | 66%+28 pts |
| 7 |  Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 16 | 73%+3 pts |
| 8 |  TijuanaTijuana | 14 | 70%−14 pts |
| 9 |  PueblaPuebla | 14 | 22%−8 pts |
| 10 |  MonterreyMonterrey | 13 | 33%−20 pts |
| 11 |  PachucaPachuca | 12 | 31%−20 pts |
| 12 |  UNAMPumas UNAM | 12 | 28%−22 pts |
| 13 |  Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis | 12 | 23%+12 pts |
| 14 |  AtlanteAtlante | 11 | 7%+5 pts |
| 15 |  TigresTigres UANL | 10 | 8%+3 pts |
| 16 |  SantosSantos | 10 | 4%+2 pts |
| 17 |  NecaxaNecaxa | 8 | 1%−1 pt |
| 18 |  JuárezFC Juárez | 3 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.