Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 8

After the games up to 14 September 2026

Toluca lead the play-off race at 99%. Tijuana 0–1 Queretaro moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Play-offs

Pachuca33%51%+18 pts
Queretaro63%80%+17 pts
Puebla25%42%+17 pts

Down

Atlas51%37%−14 pts
Tijuana92%81%−11 pts
Necaxa14%5%−9 pts

Pachuca won 3–0 at Atlante, and their play-off chances rose from 33% to 51%. Atlas lost 5–2 at Toluca, and their play-off chances fell from 51% to 37%. Toluca lead the play-off race at 99%.

Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Tijuana

0–1

Querétaro

Tijuana 0–1 Queretaro moved the odds the most. Tijuana lost 1–0 to Queretaro at home, and their play-off chances fell from 92% to 81%. Queretaro won 1–0 at Tijuana, and their play-off chances rose from 63% to 80%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The play-off race

Toluca
Guadalajara
América
Tijuana
Queretaro

Show as a table

Round	Toluca	Guadalajara	América	Tijuana	Queretaro
1	95%	60%	79%	78%	11%
2	88%	68%	72%	82%	25%
3	93%	61%	86%	79%	47%
4	91%	70%	94%	89%	45%
5	95%	85%	96%	77%	36%
6	98%	86%	99%	91%	64%
7	98%	95%	98%	92%	63%
8	99%	98%	96%	81%	80%

The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	Play-offsPlay-offs
1	GuadalajaraGuadalajara	17	98%+3 pts
2	TolucaToluca	16	99%+1 pt
3	AméricaAmérica	16	96%−2 pts
4	Cruz AzulCruz Azul	15	78%+10 pts
5	QueretaroQuerétaro	13	80%+17 pts
6	LeónLeón	13	29%±0
7	TijuanaTijuana	13	81%−11 pts
8	PueblaPuebla	13	42%+17 pts
9	AtlasAtlas	13	37%−14 pts
10	PachucaPachuca	11	51%+18 pts
11	UNAMPumas UNAM	11	53%−2 pts
12	MonterreyMonterrey	10	30%−6 pts
13	NecaxaNecaxa	8	5%−9 pts
14	TigresTigres UANL	7	14%−6 pts
15	AtlanteAtlante	7	3%−6 pts
16	Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis	6	4%−8 pts
17	SantosSantos	4	<1%±0
18	JuárezFC Juárez	0	0%±0