Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 26 July 2026
Cruz Azul lead the play-off race at 91%. Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
UNAM won 2–1 at Toluca, and their play-off chances rose from 40% to 60%. Pachuca lost 2–1 to Queretaro at home, and their play-off chances fell from 83% to 65%. Cruz Azul lead the play-off race at 91%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Necaxa 2–1 Monterrey moved the odds the most. Necaxa beat Monterrey 2–1 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 31% to 46%. Monterrey lost 2–1 at Necaxa, and their play-off chances fell from 58% to 40%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- Cruz Azul
- Toluca
- Tijuana
- América
- Guadalajara
Show as a table
| Round | Cruz Azul | Toluca | Tijuana | América | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89% | 95% | 78% | 79% | 60% |
| 2 | 91% | 88% | 82% | 72% | 68% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  TijuanaTijuana | 6 | 82%+4 pts |
| 2 |  Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 6 | 91%+2 pts |
| 3 |  AtlasAtlas | 6 | 44%+13 pts |
| 4 |  NecaxaNecaxa | 6 | 46%+15 pts |
| 5 |  AméricaAmérica | 4 | 72%−7 pts |
| 6 |  PachucaPachuca | 3 | 65%−18 pts |
| 7 |  TolucaToluca | 3 | 88%−7 pts |
| 8 |  MonterreyMonterrey | 3 | 40%−18 pts |
| 9 |  PueblaPuebla | 3 | 9%−2 pts |
| 10 |  QueretaroQuerétaro | 3 | 25%+14 pts |
| 11 |  GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 3 | 68%+8 pts |
| 12 |  UNAMPumas UNAM | 3 | 60%+20 pts |
| 13 |  Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis | 1 | 26%±0 |
| 14 |  AtlanteAtlante | 1 | 6%±0 |
| 15 |  TigresTigres UANL | 1 | 61%−10 pts |
| 16 |  SantosSantos | 0 | 4%−4 pts |
| 17 |  LeónLeón | 0 | 2%−2 pts |
| 18 |  JuárezFC Juárez | 0 | 10%−8 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.