Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 11
After the games up to 11 October 2026
América lead the play-off race at 99%. Atl. San Luis 1–2 Santos moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
Down
Atl. San Luis23%10%−13 pts
Pachuca31%21%−10 pts
Tijuana70%65%−5 pts
Tigres beat Toluca 3–2 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 8% to 20%. Atl. San Luis lost 2–1 to Santos at home, and their play-off chances fell from 23% to 10%. América lead the play-off race at 99%.
Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Atl. San Luis 1–2 Santos moved the odds the most. Atl. San Luis lost 2–1 to Santos at home, and their play-off chances fell from 23% to 10%. Santos won 2–1 at Atl. San Luis, and their play-off chances rose from 4% to 12%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- América
- Queretaro
- Toluca
- Guadalajara
- Cruz Azul
Show as a table
| Round | América | Queretaro | Toluca | Guadalajara | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79% | 11% | 95% | 60% | 89% |
| 2 | 72% | 25% | 88% | 68% | 91% |
| 3 | 86% | 47% | 93% | 61% | 77% |
| 4 | 94% | 45% | 91% | 70% | 67% |
| 5 | 96% | 36% | 95% | 85% | 41% |
| 6 | 99% | 64% | 98% | 86% | 59% |
| 7 | 98% | 63% | 98% | 95% | 68% |
| 8 | 96% | 80% | 99% | 98% | 78% |
| 9 | 97% | 76% | 99% | 99% | 70% |
| 10 | 99% | 93% | 99% | 97% | 73% |
| 11 | 99% | 98% | 98% | 96% | 73% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AméricaAmérica | 21 | 99%±0 |
| 2 |  TolucaToluca | 20 | 98%−1 pt |
| 3 |  QueretaroQuerétaro | 20 | 98%+5 pts |
| 4 |  GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 19 | 96%−1 pt |
| 5 |  LeónLeón | 18 | 47%±0 |
| 6 |  AtlasAtlas | 18 | 71%+5 pts |
| 7 |  Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 73%±0 |
| 8 | TijuanaTijuana | 15 | 65%−5 pts |
| 9 |  PueblaPuebla | 15 | 19%−3 pts |
| 10 |  MonterreyMonterrey | 14 | 39%+6 pts |
| 11 | PachucaPachuca | 13 | 21%−10 pts |
| 12 |  UNAMPumas UNAM | 13 | 26%−2 pts |
| 13 |  TigresTigres UANL | 13 | 20%+12 pts |
| 14 |  SantosSantos | 13 | 12%+8 pts |
| 15 | Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis | 12 | 10%−13 pts |
| 16 |  AtlanteAtlante | 11 | 3%−4 pts |
| 17 |  NecaxaNecaxa | 9 | 1%±0 |
| 18 |  JuárezFC Juárez | 4 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.