Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 14
After the games up to 25 October 2026
América lead the play-off race at >99%. Tijuana 4–1 Santos moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
Up
Tijuana44%69%+25 pts
Atl. San Luis17%33%+16 pts
Atlas74%89%+15 pts
Tijuana beat Santos 4–1 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 44% to 69%. Santos lost 4–1 at Tijuana, and their play-off chances fell from 52% to 31%. América lead the play-off race at >99%.
Changes since Matchday 13, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Tijuana 4–1 Santos moved the odds the most. Tijuana beat Santos 4–1 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 44% to 69%. Santos lost 4–1 at Tijuana, and their play-off chances fell from 52% to 31%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- América
- Guadalajara
- Cruz Azul
- Toluca
- Atlas
Show as a table
| Round | América | Guadalajara | Cruz Azul | Toluca | Atlas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79% | 60% | 89% | 95% | 31% |
| 2 | 72% | 68% | 91% | 88% | 44% |
| 3 | 86% | 61% | 77% | 93% | 27% |
| 4 | 94% | 70% | 67% | 91% | 49% |
| 5 | 96% | 85% | 41% | 95% | 74% |
| 6 | 99% | 86% | 59% | 98% | 58% |
| 7 | 98% | 95% | 68% | 98% | 51% |
| 8 | 96% | 98% | 78% | 99% | 37% |
| 9 | 97% | 99% | 70% | 99% | 38% |
| 10 | 99% | 97% | 73% | 99% | 66% |
| 11 | 99% | 96% | 73% | 98% | 71% |
| 12 | 100% | 96% | 86% | 96% | 87% |
| 13 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 93% | 74% |
| 14 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 91% | 89% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AméricaAmérica | 27 | >99%±0 |
| 2 |  Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 26 | >99%+4 pts |
| 3 |  GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 26 | >99%+3 pts |
| 4 | AtlasAtlas | 24 | 89%+15 pts |
| 5 |  TolucaToluca | 23 | 91%−2 pts |
| 6 |  LeónLeón | 22 | 52%+3 pts |
| 7 |  MonterreyMonterrey | 20 | 59%−16 pts |
| 8 | TijuanaTijuana | 20 | 69%+25 pts |
| 9 |  QueretaroQuerétaro | 20 | 66%−15 pts |
| 10 |  SantosSantos | 19 | 31%−21 pts |
| 11 | Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis | 19 | 33%+16 pts |
| 12 |  UNAMPumas UNAM | 17 | 6%−5 pts |
| 13 |  PachucaPachuca | 16 | 4%+3 pts |
| 14 |  PueblaPuebla | 16 | 1%−4 pts |
| 15 |  TigresTigres UANL | 15 | 1%−1 pt |
| 16 |  AtlanteAtlante | 14 | <1%−1 pt |
| 17 |  NecaxaNecaxa | 10 | 0%±0 |
| 18 |  JuárezFC Juárez | 5 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 14, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 13 below each.