Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 5

After the games up to 23 August 2026

América lead the play-off race at 96%. Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Play-offs

Atlas49%74%+25 pts
León13%29%+16 pts
Guadalajara70%85%+15 pts

Down

Cruz Azul67%41%−26 pts
Monterrey78%63%−15 pts
Tijuana89%77%−12 pts

Atlas won 2–0 at Cruz Azul, and their play-off chances rose from 49% to 74%. Cruz Azul lost 2–0 to Atlas at home, and their play-off chances fell from 67% to 41%. América lead the play-off race at 96%.

Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Cruz Azul

0–2

Atlas

Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas moved the odds the most. Cruz Azul lost 2–0 to Atlas at home, and their play-off chances fell from 67% to 41%. Atlas won 2–0 at Cruz Azul, and their play-off chances rose from 49% to 74%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The play-off race

América
Toluca
Guadalajara
Tijuana
Atlas

Show as a table

Round	América	Toluca	Guadalajara	Tijuana	Atlas
1	79%	95%	60%	78%	31%
2	72%	88%	68%	82%	44%
3	86%	93%	61%	79%	27%
4	94%	91%	70%	89%	49%
5	96%	95%	85%	77%	74%

The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	Play-offsPlay-offs
1	AméricaAmérica	13	96%+2 pts
2	AtlasAtlas	12	74%+25 pts
3	TolucaToluca	10	95%+4 pts
4	GuadalajaraGuadalajara	10	85%+15 pts
5	PueblaPuebla	10	31%+11 pts
6	TijuanaTijuana	10	77%−12 pts
7	MonterreyMonterrey	9	63%−15 pts
8	LeónLeón	9	29%+16 pts
9	UNAMPumas UNAM	8	68%−8 pts
10	QueretaroQuerétaro	7	36%−9 pts
11	NecaxaNecaxa	7	24%+2 pts
12	Cruz AzulCruz Azul	6	41%−26 pts
13	AtlanteAtlante	5	12%−8 pts
14	PachucaPachuca	4	23%−4 pts
15	TigresTigres UANL	4	36%+11 pts
16	Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis	3	9%−3 pts
17	SantosSantos	0	<1%−1 pt
18	JuárezFC Juárez	0	1%±0