Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 6 September 2026
América lead the play-off race at 98%. Atl. San Luis 0–3 Guadalajara moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
Up
Pachuca21%33%+12 pts
Guadalajara86%95%+9 pts
Cruz Azul59%68%+9 pts
Down
Atl. San Luis26%12%−14 pts
Tigres30%20%−10 pts
Atlas58%51%−7 pts
Pachuca won 2–0 at Juárez, and their play-off chances rose from 21% to 33%. Atl. San Luis lost 3–0 to Guadalajara at home, and their play-off chances fell from 26% to 12%. América lead the play-off race at 98%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Atl. San Luis 0–3 Guadalajara moved the odds the most. Atl. San Luis lost 3–0 to Guadalajara at home, and their play-off chances fell from 26% to 12%. Guadalajara won 3–0 at Atl. San Luis, and their play-off chances rose from 86% to 95%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- América
- Toluca
- Guadalajara
- Tijuana
- Cruz Azul
Show as a table
| Round | América | Toluca | Guadalajara | Tijuana | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79% | 95% | 60% | 78% | 89% |
| 2 | 72% | 88% | 68% | 82% | 91% |
| 3 | 86% | 93% | 61% | 79% | 77% |
| 4 | 94% | 91% | 70% | 89% | 67% |
| 5 | 96% | 95% | 85% | 77% | 41% |
| 6 | 99% | 98% | 86% | 91% | 59% |
| 7 | 98% | 98% | 95% | 92% | 68% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 98%−1 pt | |
| 2 | 14 | 95%+9 pts | |
| 3 | 13 | 98%±0 | |
| 4 | 13 | 92%+1 pt | |
| 5 | 13 | 51%−7 pts | |
| 6 | 12 | 68%+9 pts | |
| 7 | 10 | 63%−1 pt | |
| 8 | 10 | 29%+1 pt | |
| 9 | 10 | 25%+1 pt | |
| 10 | 9 | 36%−2 pts | |
| 11 | 8 | 33%+12 pts | |
| 12 | 8 | 55%±0 | |
| 13 | 8 | 14%+1 pt | |
| 14 | 7 | 9%−1 pt | |
| 15 | 6 | 20%−10 pts | |
| 16 | 6 | 12%−14 pts | |
| 17 | 1 | <1%±0 | |
| 18 | 0 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.