Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 4

After the games up to 17 August 2026

América lead the play-off race at 94%. Atlas 2–1 Tigres moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Play-offs

Atlas27%49%+22 pts
Monterrey58%78%+20 pts
Puebla9%20%+11 pts

Down

Pachuca48%27%−21 pts
Tigres41%25%−16 pts
Necaxa38%22%−16 pts

Atlas beat Tigres 2–1 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 27% to 49%. Pachuca lost 3–2 to Puebla at home, and their play-off chances fell from 48% to 27%. América lead the play-off race at 94%.

Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Atlas

2–1

Tigres UANL

Atlas 2–1 Tigres moved the odds the most. Atlas beat Tigres 2–1 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 27% to 49%. Tigres lost 2–1 at Atlas, and their play-off chances fell from 41% to 25%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The play-off race

América
Toluca
Tijuana
Monterrey
UNAM

Show as a table

Round	América	Toluca	Tijuana	Monterrey	UNAM
1	79%	95%	78%	58%	40%
2	72%	88%	82%	40%	60%
3	86%	93%	79%	58%	84%
4	94%	91%	89%	78%	76%

The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	Play-offsPlay-offs
1	AméricaAmérica	10	94%+8 pts
2	TijuanaTijuana	10	89%+10 pts
3	MonterreyMonterrey	9	78%+20 pts
4	AtlasAtlas	9	49%+22 pts
5	TolucaToluca	7	91%−2 pts
6	UNAMPumas UNAM	7	76%−8 pts
7	PueblaPuebla	7	20%+11 pts
8	QueretaroQuerétaro	7	45%−2 pts
9	GuadalajaraGuadalajara	7	70%+9 pts
10	Cruz AzulCruz Azul	6	67%−10 pts
11	LeónLeón	6	13%+7 pts
12	NecaxaNecaxa	6	22%−16 pts
13	AtlanteAtlante	5	20%+1 pt
14	PachucaPachuca	3	27%−21 pts
15	Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis	2	12%−10 pts
16	TigresTigres UANL	1	25%−16 pts
17	SantosSantos	0	1%±0
18	JuárezFC Juárez	0	1%−3 pts