Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 12

After the games up to 18 October 2026

América lead the play-off race at >99%. Santos 5–0 Queretaro moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Play-offs

Santos12%35%+23 pts
Atlas71%87%+16 pts
Monterrey39%55%+16 pts

Down

León47%23%−24 pts
Tijuana65%48%−17 pts
Pachuca21%7%−14 pts

Santos beat Queretaro 5–0 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 12% to 35%. León lost 5–3 to América at home, and their play-off chances fell from 47% to 23%. América lead the play-off race at >99%.

Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Santos

5–0

Querétaro

Santos 5–0 Queretaro moved the odds the most. Santos beat Queretaro 5–0 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 12% to 35%. Queretaro lost 5–0 at Santos, and their play-off chances fell from 98% to 91%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The play-off race

América
Toluca
Guadalajara
Queretaro
Atlas

Show as a table

Round	América	Toluca	Guadalajara	Queretaro	Atlas
1	79%	95%	60%	11%	31%
2	72%	88%	68%	25%	44%
3	86%	93%	61%	47%	27%
4	94%	91%	70%	45%	49%
5	96%	95%	85%	36%	74%
6	99%	98%	86%	64%	58%
7	98%	98%	95%	63%	51%
8	96%	99%	98%	80%	37%
9	97%	99%	99%	76%	38%
10	99%	99%	97%	93%	66%
11	99%	98%	96%	98%	71%
12	100%	96%	96%	91%	87%

The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	Play-offsPlay-offs
1	AméricaAmérica	24	>99%+1 pt
2	TolucaToluca	21	96%−2 pts
3	AtlasAtlas	21	87%+16 pts
4	GuadalajaraGuadalajara	20	96%±0
5	Cruz AzulCruz Azul	20	86%+13 pts
6	QueretaroQuerétaro	20	91%−7 pts
7	LeónLeón	18	23%−24 pts
8	MonterreyMonterrey	17	55%+16 pts
9	SantosSantos	16	35%+23 pts
10	TijuanaTijuana	16	48%−17 pts
11	UNAMPumas UNAM	16	35%+9 pts
12	PueblaPuebla	16	15%−4 pts
13	TigresTigres UANL	14	15%−5 pts
14	PachucaPachuca	13	7%−14 pts
15	Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis	13	10%±0
16	AtlanteAtlante	11	1%−2 pts
17	NecaxaNecaxa	9	<1%−1 pt
18	JuárezFC Juárez	4	0%±0