Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Guadalajara lead the play-off race at 99%. Monterrey 1–0 Cruz Azul moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
Up
Monterrey30%53%+23 pts
Atl. San Luis4%11%+7 pts
León29%33%+4 pts
Monterrey beat Cruz Azul 1–0 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 30% to 53%. Puebla's play-off chances fell from 42% to 30%. Guadalajara lead the play-off race at 99%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Monterrey 1–0 Cruz Azul moved the odds the most. Monterrey beat Cruz Azul 1–0 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 30% to 53%. Cruz Azul lost 1–0 at Monterrey, and their play-off chances fell from 78% to 70%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- Guadalajara
- Toluca
- América
- Tijuana
- Queretaro
Show as a table
| Round | Guadalajara | Toluca | América | Tijuana | Queretaro |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 95% | 79% | 78% | 11% |
| 2 | 68% | 88% | 72% | 82% | 25% |
| 3 | 61% | 93% | 86% | 79% | 47% |
| 4 | 70% | 91% | 94% | 89% | 45% |
| 5 | 85% | 95% | 96% | 77% | 36% |
| 6 | 86% | 98% | 99% | 91% | 64% |
| 7 | 95% | 98% | 98% | 92% | 63% |
| 8 | 98% | 99% | 96% | 81% | 80% |
| 9 | 99% | 99% | 97% | 84% | 76% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 99%±0 | |
| 2 | 18 | 99%+1 pt | |
| 3 | 17 | 97%+1 pt | |
| 4 | 15 | 70%−8 pts | |
| 5 | 14 | 76%−4 pts | |
| 6 | 14 | 33%+4 pts | |
| 7 | 14 | 84%+3 pts | |
| 8 | 14 | 30%−12 pts | |
| 9 | 14 | 38%+1 pt | |
| 10 | 13 | 53%+23 pts | |
| 11 | 12 | 51%±0 | |
| 12 | 12 | 50%−3 pts | |
| 13 | 9 | 11%+7 pts | |
| 14 | 8 | 2%−1 pt | |
| 15 | 8 | 2%−3 pts | |
| 16 | 7 | 5%−9 pts | |
| 17 | 7 | 2%+2 pts | |
| 18 | 3 | <1%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.