Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 2 August 2026
Toluca lead the play-off race at 93%. Queretaro 3–2 Tigres moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Play-offs
UNAM won 5–1 at Juárez, and their play-off chances rose from 60% to 84%. Tigres lost 3–2 at Queretaro, and their play-off chances fell from 61% to 41%. Toluca lead the play-off race at 93%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Queretaro 3–2 Tigres moved the odds the most. Queretaro beat Tigres 3–2 at home, and their play-off chances rose from 25% to 47%. Tigres lost 3–2 at Queretaro, and their play-off chances fell from 61% to 41%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The play-off race
- Toluca
- América
- UNAM
- Tijuana
- Cruz Azul
Show as a table
| Round | Toluca | América | UNAM | Tijuana | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 95% | 79% | 40% | 78% | 89% |
| 2 | 88% | 72% | 60% | 82% | 91% |
| 3 | 93% | 86% | 84% | 79% | 77% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AméricaAmérica | 7 | 86%+14 pts |
| 2 |  TijuanaTijuana | 7 | 79%−3 pts |
| 3 |  TolucaToluca | 6 | 93%+5 pts |
| 4 |  UNAMPumas UNAM | 6 | 84%+24 pts |
| 5 |  MonterreyMonterrey | 6 | 58%+18 pts |
| 6 |  Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 6 | 77%−14 pts |
| 7 |  QueretaroQuerétaro | 6 | 47%+22 pts |
| 8 |  NecaxaNecaxa | 6 | 38%−8 pts |
| 9 |  AtlasAtlas | 6 | 27%−17 pts |
| 10 |  AtlanteAtlante | 4 | 19%+13 pts |
| 11 |  PueblaPuebla | 4 | 9%±0 |
| 12 |  GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 4 | 61%−7 pts |
| 13 |  PachucaPachuca | 3 | 48%−17 pts |
| 14 |  LeónLeón | 3 | 6%+4 pts |
| 15 |  Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis | 2 | 22%−4 pts |
| 16 |  TigresTigres UANL | 1 | 41%−20 pts |
| 17 |  SantosSantos | 0 | 1%−3 pts |
| 18 |  JuárezFC Juárez | 0 | 4%−6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.