Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 18 July 2026
Toluca lead the play-off race at 95%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The play-off race
- Toluca
- Cruz Azul
- Pachuca
- América
- Tijuana
Show as a table
| Round | Toluca | Cruz Azul | Pachuca | América | Tijuana |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 95% | 89% | 83% | 79% | 78% |
The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | Play-offsPlay-offs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PachucaPachuca | 3 | 83% |
| 2 |  TijuanaTijuana | 3 | 78% |
| 3 |  TolucaToluca | 3 | 95% |
| 4 |  AtlasAtlas | 3 | 31% |
| 5 |  Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 3 | 89% |
| 6 |  MonterreyMonterrey | 3 | 58% |
| 7 |  NecaxaNecaxa | 3 | 31% |
| 8 |  AméricaAmérica | 3 | 79% |
| 9 |  PueblaPuebla | 3 | 11% |
| 10 |  SantosSantos | 0 | 8% |
| 11 |  Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis | 0 | 26% |
| 12 |  LeónLeón | 0 | 4% |
| 13 |  AtlanteAtlante | 0 | 6% |
| 14 |  JuárezFC Juárez | 0 | 18% |
| 15 |  QueretaroQuerétaro | 0 | 11% |
| 16 |  TigresTigres UANL | 0 | 71% |
| 17 |  GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 0 | 60% |
| 18 |  UNAMPumas UNAM | 0 | 40% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.