Liga MX play-off odds after Matchday 6

After the games up to 30 August 2026

América lead the play-off race at 99%. Atlas 1–3 Queretaro moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Play-offs

Queretaro36%64%+28 pts
Cruz Azul41%59%+18 pts
Atl. San Luis9%26%+17 pts

Down

Monterrey63%38%−25 pts
Atlas74%58%−16 pts
UNAM68%55%−13 pts

Queretaro won 3–1 at Atlas, and their play-off chances rose from 36% to 64%. Monterrey lost 3–1 to Atl. San Luis at home, and their play-off chances fell from 63% to 38%. América lead the play-off race at 99%.

Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Atlas

1–3

Querétaro

Atlas 1–3 Queretaro moved the odds the most. Atlas lost 3–1 to Queretaro at home, and their play-off chances fell from 74% to 58%. Queretaro won 3–1 at Atlas, and their play-off chances rose from 36% to 64%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The play-off race

América
Toluca
Tijuana
Guadalajara
Queretaro

Show as a table

Round	América	Toluca	Tijuana	Guadalajara	Queretaro
1	79%	95%	78%	60%	11%
2	72%	88%	82%	68%	25%
3	86%	93%	79%	61%	47%
4	94%	91%	89%	70%	45%
5	96%	95%	77%	85%	36%
6	99%	98%	91%	86%	64%

The top five clubs' play-off chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	Play-offsPlay-offs
1	AméricaAmérica	16	99%+3 pts
2	TolucaToluca	13	98%+3 pts
3	TijuanaTijuana	13	91%+14 pts
4	AtlasAtlas	12	58%−16 pts
5	GuadalajaraGuadalajara	11	86%+1 pt
6	QueretaroQuerétaro	10	64%+28 pts
7	LeónLeón	10	28%−1 pt
8	PueblaPuebla	10	24%−7 pts
9	MonterreyMonterrey	9	38%−25 pts
10	Cruz AzulCruz Azul	9	59%+18 pts
11	UNAMPumas UNAM	8	55%−13 pts
12	NecaxaNecaxa	7	13%−11 pts
13	Atl. San LuisAtlético de San Luis	6	26%+17 pts
14	AtlanteAtlante	6	10%−2 pts
15	PachucaPachuca	5	21%−2 pts
16	TigresTigres UANL	5	30%−6 pts
17	SantosSantos	1	<1%±0
18	JuárezFC Juárez	0	<1%−1 pt