Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 13

After the games up to 2 November 2026Latest

Heracles lead the title race at 86%. FC Volendam 1–2 De Graafschap moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Heracles84%86%+2 pts
Almere City5%6%+1 pt
NAC Breda2%3%+1 pt

Down

FC Volendam3%1%−2 pts
Emmen1%<1%−1 pt

Heracles beat TOP Oss 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 84% to 86%. FC Volendam lost 2–1 to De Graafschap at home, and their title chances fell from 3% to 1%. Heracles lead the title race at 86%.

Promotion

Almere City29%38%+9 pts
NAC Breda12%19%+7 pts
VVV Venlo27%29%+2 pts

Down

FC Volendam19%7%−12 pts
Emmen9%2%−7 pts
RKC Waalwijk2%1%−1 pt

Almere City won 2–1 at RKC Waalwijk, and their promotion chances rose from 29% to 38%. FC Volendam lost 2–1 to De Graafschap at home, and their promotion chances fell from 19% to 7%.

Changes since Matchday 12, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

FC Volendam

1–2

De Graafschap

FC Volendam 1–2 De Graafschap moved the odds the most. FC Volendam lost 2–1 to De Graafschap at home, and their promotion chances fell from 19% to 7%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Heracles
Almere City
VVV Venlo
NAC Breda
FC Volendam

Show as a table

Round	Heracles	Almere City	VVV Venlo	NAC Breda	FC Volendam
1	18%	6%	<1%	38%	18%
2	26%	10%	1%	15%	31%
3	47%	19%	1%	12%	11%
4	43%	23%	2%	7%	21%
5	72%	11%	1%	3%	7%
6	68%	18%	1%	1%	7%
7	61%	25%	2%	2%	2%
8	76%	13%	1%	2%	3%
9	70%	19%	3%	2%	2%
10	72%	19%	5%	1%	3%
11	85%	9%	2%	2%	1%
12	84%	5%	4%	2%	3%
13	86%	6%	4%	3%	1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion
1	HeraclesHeracles Almelo	32	86%+2 pts	96%+1 pt
2	VVV VenloVVV-Venlo	28	4%±0	29%+2 pts
3	Almere CityAlmere City	25	6%+1 pt	38%+9 pts
4	Roda JCRoda JC Kerkrade	25	1%±0	7%+1 pt
5	EmmenFC Emmen	25	<1%−1 pt	2%−7 pts
6	NAC BredaNAC Breda	24	3%+1 pt	19%+7 pts
7	FC VolendamFC Volendam	19	1%−2 pts	7%−12 pts
8	FC Den BoschFC Den Bosch	18	<1%±0	<1%±0
9	VitesseVitesse	18	<1%±0	1%±0
10	Jong AZJong AZ	17	0%±0	<1%±0
11	MVVMVV Maastricht	17	0%±0	0%±0
12	RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk	16	<1%±0	1%−1 pt
13	Jong PSVJong PSV	16	0%±0	<1%±0
14	De GraafschapDe Graafschap	15	0%±0	<1%±0
15	TOP OssTOP Oss	13	0%±0	0%±0
16	Jong AjaxJong Ajax	13	0%±0	0%±0
17	Helmond SportHelmond Sport	12	0%±0	0%±0
18	FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven	11	0%±0	0%±0
19	DordrechtFC Dordrecht	11	0%±0	0%±0
20	Jong UtrechtJong FC Utrecht	10	0%±0	0%±0

Chances after Matchday 13, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 12 below each.

Round	Heracles	Almere City	VVV Venlo	NAC Breda	FC Volendam
1	18%	6%	<1%	38%	18%
2	26%	10%	1%	15%	31%
3	47%	19%	1%	12%	11%
4	43%	23%	2%	7%	21%
5	72%	11%	1%	3%	7%
6	68%	18%	1%	1%	7%
7	61%	25%	2%	2%	2%
8	76%	13%	1%	2%	3%
9	70%	19%	3%	2%	2%
10	72%	19%	5%	1%	3%
11	85%	9%	2%	2%	1%
12	84%	5%	4%	2%	3%
13	86%	6%	4%	3%	1%

Round	Heracles	Almere City	VVV Venlo	NAC Breda	FC Volendam
1	18%	6%	<1%	38%	18%
2	26%	10%	1%	15%	31%
3	47%	19%	1%	12%	11%
4	43%	23%	2%	7%	21%
5	72%	11%	1%	3%	7%
6	68%	18%	1%	1%	7%
7	61%	25%	2%	2%	2%
8	76%	13%	1%	2%	3%
9	70%	19%	3%	2%	2%
10	72%	19%	5%	1%	3%
11	85%	9%	2%	2%	1%
12	84%	5%	4%	2%	3%
13	86%	6%	4%	3%	1%