Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 13 September 2026
Heracles lead the title race at 68%. MVV 0–4 Almere City moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Almere City11%18%+7 pts
RKC Waalwijk1%2%+1 pt
Almere City won 4–0 at MVV, and their title chances rose from 11% to 18%. Heracles beat Jong AZ 3–2 at home, and their title chances fell from 72% to 68%. Heracles lead the title race at 68%.
Promotion
Up
- Almere City34%51%+17 pts
- RKC Waalwijk7%10%+3 pts
VVV Venlo4%6%+2 pts
Almere City won 4–0 at MVV, and their promotion chances rose from 34% to 51%. NAC Breda lost 3–2 to Jong Utrecht at home, and their promotion chances fell from 14% to 4%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
MVV 0–4 Almere City moved the odds the most. MVV lost 4–0 to Almere City at home, and their promotion chances fell from 1% to <1%. Almere City won 4–0 at MVV, and their promotion chances rose from 34% to 51%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Heracles
- Almere City
- FC Volendam
- RKC Waalwijk
- Vitesse
Show as a table
| Round | Heracles | Almere City | FC Volendam | RKC Waalwijk | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 3% |
| 2 | 26% | 10% | 31% | 3% | 6% |
| 3 | 47% | 19% | 11% | 1% | 1% |
| 4 | 43% | 23% | 21% | <1% | 2% |
| 5 | 72% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 | 68% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HeraclesHeracles Almelo | 18 | 68%−4 pts | 87%−1 pt |
| 2 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 18%+7 pts | 51%+17 pts |
| 3 |  MVVMVV Maastricht | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 4 | VVV VenloVVV-Venlo | 12 | 1%±0 | 6%+2 pts |
| 5 |  EmmenFC Emmen | 12 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−3 pts |
| 6 |  Roda JCRoda JC Kerkrade | 11 | 1%±0 | 5%+2 pts |
| 7 |  Jong PSVJong PSV | 11 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−3 pts |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 10 | 2%+1 pt | 10%+3 pts |
| 9 |  VitesseVitesse | 10 | 1%−2 pts | 6%−6 pts |
| 10 |  FC VolendamFC Volendam | 9 | 7%±0 | 27%+1 pt |
| 11 |  Jong AZJong AZ | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 12 |  Helmond SportHelmond Sport | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 13 |  NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 1%−2 pts | 4%−10 pts |
| 14 |  Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 15 |  FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 16 |  FC Den BoschFC Den Bosch | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 17 |  DordrechtFC Dordrecht | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 18 |  Jong UtrechtJong FC Utrecht | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 19 |  De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 20 |  TOP OssTOP Oss | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.