Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 17 August 2026
FC Volendam lead the title race at 31%. NAC Breda 0–2 VVV Venlo moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
FC Volendam18%31%+13 pts
Heracles18%26%+8 pts
Almere City6%10%+4 pts
Down
NAC Breda38%15%−23 pts
De Graafschap5%1%−4 pts
Jong PSV4%2%−2 pts
FC Volendam beat TOP Oss 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 18% to 31%. NAC Breda lost 2–0 to VVV Venlo at home, and their title chances fell from 38% to 15%. FC Volendam lead the title race at 31%.
Promotion
Up
- FC Volendam35%52%+17 pts
- Almere City13%22%+9 pts
- Heracles37%45%+8 pts
Down
- NAC Breda58%30%−28 pts
- De Graafschap12%3%−9 pts
- Jong PSV11%6%−5 pts
FC Volendam beat TOP Oss 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 35% to 52%. NAC Breda lost 2–0 to VVV Venlo at home, and their promotion chances fell from 58% to 30%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
NAC Breda 0–2 VVV Venlo moved the odds the most. NAC Breda lost 2–0 to VVV Venlo at home, and their promotion chances fell from 58% to 30%. VVV Venlo won 2–0 at NAC Breda, and their promotion chances rose from 1% to 3%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- FC Volendam
- Heracles
- NAC Breda
- Almere City
- Vitesse
Show as a table
| Round | FC Volendam | Heracles | NAC Breda | Almere City | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 18% | 38% | 6% | 3% |
| 2 | 31% | 26% | 15% | 10% | 6% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  EmmenFC Emmen | 6 | 1%±0 | 4%+2 pts |
| 2 | HeraclesHeracles Almelo | 6 | 26%+8 pts | 45%+8 pts |
| 3 |  MVVMVV Maastricht | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 10%+4 pts | 22%+9 pts |
| 5 |  VitesseVitesse | 4 | 6%+3 pts | 16%+8 pts |
| 6 |  DordrechtFC Dordrecht | 4 | 1%±0 | 2%±0 |
| 7 | FC VolendamFC Volendam | 3 | 31%+13 pts | 52%+17 pts |
| 8 |  Jong AZJong AZ | 3 | <1%±0 | 2%+2 pts |
| 9 |  VVV VenloVVV-Venlo | 3 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+2 pts |
| 10 |  FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 11 |  Roda JCRoda JC Kerkrade | 3 | 2%+1 pt | 5%+2 pts |
| 12 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 3 | 2%−2 pts | 6%−5 pts |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 3 | 15%−23 pts | 30%−28 pts |
| 14 |  RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 2 | 3%−1 pt | 9%−2 pts |
| 15 |  FC Den BoschFC Den Bosch | 1 | 1%±0 | 2%±0 |
| 16 |  Helmond SportHelmond Sport | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 17 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 1 | 1%−4 pts | 3%−9 pts |
| 18 |  Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 19 |  Jong UtrechtJong FC Utrecht | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 20 |  TOP OssTOP Oss | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.