Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 10 August 2026
NAC Breda lead the title race at 38%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- NAC Breda
- Heracles
- FC Volendam
- Almere City
- De Graafschap
Show as a table
| Round | NAC Breda | Heracles | FC Volendam | Almere City | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38% | 18% | 18% | 6% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HeraclesHeracles Almelo | 3 | 18% | 37% |
| 2 |  Jong PSVJong PSV | 3 | 4% | 11% |
| 3 |  DordrechtFC Dordrecht | 3 | 1% | 2% |
| 4 |  MVVMVV Maastricht | 3 | <1% | <1% |
| 5 |  NAC BredaNAC Breda | 3 | 38% | 58% |
| 6 |  FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 3 | <1% | 1% |
| 7 |  EmmenFC Emmen | 3 | 1% | 2% |
| 8 |  Almere CityAlmere City | 1 | 6% | 13% |
| 9 |  De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 1 | 5% | 12% |
| 10 |  FC Den BoschFC Den Bosch | 1 | 1% | 2% |
| 11 |  Helmond SportHelmond Sport | 1 | <1% | <1% |
| 12 |  RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 1 | 4% | 11% |
| 13 |  VitesseVitesse | 1 | 3% | 8% |
| 14 |  VVV VenloVVV-Venlo | 0 | <1% | 1% |
| 15 |  FC VolendamFC Volendam | 0 | 18% | 35% |
| 16 |  Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 0 | <1% | <1% |
| 17 |  Jong UtrechtJong FC Utrecht | 0 | <1% | 1% |
| 18 |  TOP OssTOP Oss | 0 | <1% | 1% |
| 19 |  Jong AZJong AZ | 0 | <1% | <1% |
| 20 |  Roda JCRoda JC Kerkrade | 0 | 1% | 3% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.