Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 10

After the games up to 9 October 2026

Heracles lead the title race at 72%. Heracles 3–0 RKC Waalwijk moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Heracles70%72%+2 pts
VVV Venlo3%5%+2 pts
FC Volendam2%3%+1 pt

Down

NAC Breda2%1%−1 pt
Vitesse1%<1%−1 pt
RKC Waalwijk1%<1%−1 pt

Heracles beat RKC Waalwijk 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 70% to 72%. NAC Breda beat MVV 1–0 at home, and their title chances fell from 2% to 1%. Heracles lead the title race at 72%.

Promotion

VVV Venlo15%21%+6 pts
Heracles89%92%+3 pts
Almere City56%59%+3 pts

Down

RKC Waalwijk6%2%−4 pts
NAC Breda10%7%−3 pts
Vitesse5%2%−3 pts

VVV Venlo won 3–0 at Jong Ajax, and their promotion chances rose from 15% to 21%. RKC Waalwijk lost 3–0 at Heracles, and their promotion chances fell from 6% to 2%.

Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Heracles Almelo

3–0

RKC Waalwijk

Heracles 3–0 RKC Waalwijk moved the odds the most. Heracles beat RKC Waalwijk 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 89% to 92%. RKC Waalwijk lost 3–0 at Heracles, and their promotion chances fell from 6% to 2%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Heracles
Almere City
VVV Venlo
FC Volendam
NAC Breda

Show as a table

Round	Heracles	Almere City	VVV Venlo	FC Volendam	NAC Breda
1	18%	6%	<1%	18%	38%
2	26%	10%	1%	31%	15%
3	47%	19%	1%	11%	12%
4	43%	23%	2%	21%	7%
5	72%	11%	1%	7%	3%
6	68%	18%	1%	7%	1%
7	61%	25%	2%	2%	2%
8	76%	13%	1%	3%	2%
9	70%	19%	3%	2%	2%
10	72%	19%	5%	3%	1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion
1	HeraclesHeracles Almelo	25	72%+2 pts	92%+3 pts
2	Almere CityAlmere City	22	19%±0	59%+3 pts
3	VVV VenloVVV-Venlo	21	5%+2 pts	21%+6 pts
4	EmmenFC Emmen	19	<1%±0	2%+1 pt
5	NAC BredaNAC Breda	17	1%−1 pt	7%−3 pts
6	Roda JCRoda JC Kerkrade	16	<1%−1 pt	1%−2 pts
7	MVVMVV Maastricht	16	0%±0	<1%±0
8	FC VolendamFC Volendam	15	3%+1 pt	13%+2 pts
9	RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk	14	<1%−1 pt	2%−4 pts
10	VitesseVitesse	14	<1%−1 pt	2%−3 pts
11	Jong AZJong AZ	13	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt
12	Jong PSVJong PSV	13	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt
13	TOP OssTOP Oss	12	0%±0	<1%±0
14	FC Den BoschFC Den Bosch	11	<1%±0	<1%±0
15	FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven	11	0%±0	0%±0
16	De GraafschapDe Graafschap	11	<1%±0	<1%±0
17	Helmond SportHelmond Sport	9	0%±0	<1%±0
18	Jong AjaxJong Ajax	8	0%±0	0%±0
19	DordrechtFC Dordrecht	8	0%±0	0%±0
20	Jong UtrechtJong FC Utrecht	7	0%±0	0%±0