Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 24 August 2026
Heracles lead the title race at 47%. MVV 1–0 FC Volendam moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Heracles26%47%+21 pts
Almere City10%19%+9 pts
Emmen1%2%+1 pt
Down
FC Volendam31%11%−20 pts
Vitesse6%1%−5 pts
NAC Breda15%12%−3 pts
Heracles won 6–1 at Jong Utrecht, and their title chances rose from 26% to 47%. FC Volendam lost 1–0 at MVV, and their title chances fell from 31% to 11%. Heracles lead the title race at 47%.
Promotion
Up
- Heracles45%67%+22 pts
- Almere City22%39%+17 pts
Roda JC5%7%+2 pts
Down
- FC Volendam52%27%−25 pts
- Vitesse16%4%−12 pts
RKC Waalwijk9%5%−4 pts
Heracles won 6–1 at Jong Utrecht, and their promotion chances rose from 45% to 67%. FC Volendam lost 1–0 at MVV, and their promotion chances fell from 52% to 27%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
MVV 1–0 FC Volendam moved the odds the most. MVV beat FC Volendam 1–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from <1% to 1%. FC Volendam lost 1–0 at MVV, and their promotion chances fell from 52% to 27%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Heracles
- Almere City
- NAC Breda
- FC Volendam
- Roda JC
Show as a table
| Round | Heracles | Almere City | NAC Breda | FC Volendam | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 6% | 38% | 18% | 1% |
| 2 | 26% | 10% | 15% | 31% | 2% |
| 3 | 47% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HeraclesHeracles Almelo | 9 | 47%+21 pts | 67%+22 pts |
| 2 | EmmenFC Emmen | 9 | 2%+1 pt | 6%+2 pts |
| 3 |  MVVMVV Maastricht | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 4 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 19%+9 pts | 39%+17 pts |
| 5 |  VVV VenloVVV-Venlo | 6 | 1%±0 | 4%+1 pt |
| 6 | Roda JCRoda JC Kerkrade | 6 | 2%±0 | 7%+2 pts |
| 7 |  Jong PSVJong PSV | 6 | 2%±0 | 6%±0 |
| 8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 12%−3 pts | 28%−2 pts |
| 9 |  FC Den BoschFC Den Bosch | 4 | 1%±0 | 4%+2 pts |
| 10 |  DordrechtFC Dordrecht | 4 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−1 pt |
| 11 | VitesseVitesse | 4 | 1%−5 pts | 4%−12 pts |
| 12 | FC VolendamFC Volendam | 3 | 11%−20 pts | 27%−25 pts |
| 13 |  Jong AZJong AZ | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts |
| 14 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 3 | 1%−2 pts | 5%−4 pts |
| 15 |  FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 16 |  Helmond SportHelmond Sport | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 17 |  De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 1 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts |
| 18 |  Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 19 |  TOP OssTOP Oss | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 20 |  Jong UtrechtJong FC Utrecht | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.