Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 27 September 2026
Heracles lead the title race at 76%. Heracles 2–0 Vitesse moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Heracles61%76%+15 pts
FC Volendam2%3%+1 pt
Down
Almere City25%13%−12 pts
RKC Waalwijk4%2%−2 pts
Vitesse3%1%−2 pts
Heracles beat Vitesse 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 61% to 76%. Almere City lost 3–2 at Dordrecht, and their title chances fell from 25% to 13%. Heracles lead the title race at 76%.
Promotion
Up
Heracles84%91%+7 pts
FC Volendam10%15%+5 pts
NAC Breda6%10%+4 pts
Down
Almere City60%48%−12 pts
RKC Waalwijk15%11%−4 pts
Vitesse10%7%−3 pts
Heracles beat Vitesse 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 84% to 91%. Almere City lost 3–2 at Dordrecht, and their promotion chances fell from 60% to 48%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Heracles 2–0 Vitesse moved the odds the most. Heracles beat Vitesse 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 61% to 76%. Vitesse lost 2–0 at Heracles, and their promotion chances fell from 10% to 7%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Heracles
- Almere City
- FC Volendam
- RKC Waalwijk
- NAC Breda
Show as a table
| Round | Heracles | Almere City | FC Volendam | RKC Waalwijk | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 38% |
| 2 | 26% | 10% | 31% | 3% | 15% |
| 3 | 47% | 19% | 11% | 1% | 12% |
| 4 | 43% | 23% | 21% | <1% | 7% |
| 5 | 72% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 | 68% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 1% |
| 7 | 61% | 25% | 2% | 4% | 2% |
| 8 | 76% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 76%+15 pts | 91%+7 pts | |
| 2 | 16 | 13%−12 pts | 48%−12 pts | |
| 3 | 16 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 4 | 15 | 1%−1 pt | 8%−1 pt | |
| 5 | 15 | 1%±0 | 7%+4 pts | |
| 6 | 15 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | |
| 7 | 13 | 2%−2 pts | 11%−4 pts | |
| 8 | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | |
| 9 | 13 | 1%−2 pts | 7%−3 pts | |
| 10 | 13 | 2%±0 | 10%+4 pts | |
| 11 | 12 | 3%+1 pt | 15%+5 pts | |
| 12 | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | |
| 13 | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 14 | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 17 | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 19 | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.