Eerste Divisie title odds after Matchday 5

After the games up to 7 September 2026

Heracles lead the title race at 72%. Heracles 5–0 De Graafschap moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Heracles43%72%+29 pts
Vitesse2%3%+1 pt
RKC Waalwijk<1%1%+1 pt

Down

FC Volendam21%7%−14 pts
Almere City23%11%−12 pts
NAC Breda7%3%−4 pts

Heracles beat De Graafschap 5–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 43% to 72%. FC Volendam lost 5–3 at Emmen, and their title chances fell from 21% to 7%. Heracles lead the title race at 72%.

Promotion

Heracles66%88%+22 pts
Vitesse7%12%+5 pts
RKC Waalwijk2%7%+5 pts

Down

FC Volendam44%26%−18 pts
Almere City46%34%−12 pts
NAC Breda18%14%−4 pts

Heracles beat De Graafschap 5–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 66% to 88%. FC Volendam lost 5–3 at Emmen, and their promotion chances fell from 44% to 26%.

Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Heracles Almelo

5–0

De Graafschap

Heracles 5–0 De Graafschap moved the odds the most. Heracles beat De Graafschap 5–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 43% to 72%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Heracles
Almere City
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Vitesse

Show as a table

Round	Heracles	Almere City	FC Volendam	NAC Breda	Vitesse
1	18%	6%	18%	38%	3%
2	26%	10%	31%	15%	6%
3	47%	19%	11%	12%	1%
4	43%	23%	21%	7%	2%
5	72%	11%	7%	3%	3%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion
1	HeraclesHeracles Almelo	15	72%+29 pts	88%+22 pts
2	MVVMVV Maastricht	13	<1%±0	1%±0
3	EmmenFC Emmen	12	1%+1 pt	5%+4 pts
4	Jong PSVJong PSV	11	1%±0	5%+1 pt
5	Almere CityAlmere City	10	11%−12 pts	34%−12 pts
6	VitesseVitesse	10	3%+1 pt	12%+5 pts
7	VVV VenloVVV-Venlo	9	1%−1 pt	4%−4 pts
8	Jong AZJong AZ	9	<1%±0	1%+1 pt
9	Roda JCRoda JC Kerkrade	8	1%±0	3%±0
10	RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk	7	1%+1 pt	7%+5 pts
11	Jong AjaxJong Ajax	7	<1%±0	<1%±0
12	NAC BredaNAC Breda	7	3%−4 pts	14%−4 pts
13	FC VolendamFC Volendam	6	7%−14 pts	26%−18 pts
14	Helmond SportHelmond Sport	5	0%±0	<1%±0
15	FC Den BoschFC Den Bosch	4	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt
16	FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven	4	0%±0	<1%±0
17	DordrechtFC Dordrecht	4	0%±0	<1%±0
18	TOP OssTOP Oss	3	<1%±0	<1%±0
19	Jong UtrechtJong FC Utrecht	1	0%±0	0%±0
20	De GraafschapDe Graafschap	1	0%±0	<1%±0