Primera División odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 7 September 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Cerro Porteño 1–0 Nacional moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Cerro Porteño40%50%+10 pts
Libertad43%49%+6 pts
Ameliano2%4%+2 pts
Down
Trinidense26%13%−13 pts
Nacional88%82%−6 pts
Cerro Porteño beat Nacional 1–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 40% to 50%. Trinidense lost 2–1 to Olimpia at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 26% to 13%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Cerro Porteño 1–0 Nacional moved the odds the most. Cerro Porteño beat Nacional 1–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 40% to 50%. Nacional lost 1–0 at Cerro Porteño, and their Libertadores chances fell from 88% to 82%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Cerro Porteño
- Libertad
- Trinidense
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Cerro Porteño | Libertad | Trinidense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 58% | 38% | 28% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 37% | 44% | 39% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 47% | 34% | 49% |
| 4 | 100% | 58% | 38% | 48% | 41% |
| 5 | 100% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 34% |
| 6 | 100% | 68% | 33% | 61% | 29% |
| 7 | 100% | 82% | 29% | 64% | 15% |
| 8 | 100% | 88% | 40% | 43% | 26% |
| 9 | 100% | 82% | 50% | 49% | 13% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  OlimpiaClub Olimpia | 65 | 100%±0 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional Asunción | 54 | 82%−6 pts |
| 3 | Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño | 51 | 50%+10 pts |
| 4 | LibertadLibertad | 50 | 49%+6 pts |
| 5 | TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense | 46 | 13%−13 pts |
| 6 | AmelianoSportivo Ameliano | 46 | 4%+2 pts |
| 7 |  2 de Mayo2 de Mayo | 43 | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  GuaraníGuaraní | 42 | 1%±0 |
| 9 |  Dep. RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta | 35 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  Rubio ÑúRubio Ñú | 31 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  LuqueñoSportivo Luqueño | 30 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  San LorenzoSportivo San Lorenzo | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.