Primera División odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 16 August 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Luqueño 1–2 Libertad moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Libertad48%58%+10 pts
Cerro Porteño38%42%+4 pts
Down
Trinidense41%34%−7 pts
Guaraní7%3%−4 pts
Ameliano6%5%−1 pt
Libertad won 2–1 at Luqueño, and their Libertadores chances rose from 48% to 58%. Trinidense drew 1–1 with Nacional at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 41% to 34%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Luqueño 1–2 Libertad moved the odds the most. Libertad won 2–1 at Luqueño, and their Libertadores chances rose from 48% to 58%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Libertad
- Nacional
- Cerro Porteño
- Trinidense
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Libertad | Nacional | Cerro Porteño | Trinidense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 38% | 61% | 58% | 28% |
| 2 | 100% | 44% | 70% | 37% | 39% |
| 3 | 100% | 34% | 59% | 47% | 49% |
| 4 | 100% | 48% | 58% | 38% | 41% |
| 5 | 100% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 34% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  OlimpiaClub Olimpia | 55 | 100%±0 |
| 2 |  NacionalNacional Asunción | 45 | 58%±0 |
| 3 | Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño | 44 | 42%+4 pts |
| 4 | LibertadLibertad | 43 | 58%+10 pts |
| 5 | TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense | 42 | 34%−7 pts |
| 6 | AmelianoSportivo Ameliano | 39 | 5%−1 pt |
| 7 | GuaraníGuaraní | 36 | 3%−4 pts |
| 8 |  Dep. RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta | 35 | 1%−1 pt |
| 9 |  2 de Mayo2 de Mayo | 35 | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  Rubio ÑúRubio Ñú | 27 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  LuqueñoSportivo Luqueño | 26 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  San LorenzoSportivo San Lorenzo | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.