Primera División odds after Matchday 16
After the games up to 25 October 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Nacional 0–1 Trinidense moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Trinidense29%41%+12 pts
Down
Libertad41%34%−7 pts
Cerro Porteño30%27%−3 pts
Nacional99%97%−2 pts
Trinidense won 1–0 at Nacional, and their Libertadores chances rose from 29% to 41%. Libertad beat Luqueño 1–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 41% to 34%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 15, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Nacional 0–1 Trinidense moved the odds the most. Nacional lost 1–0 to Trinidense at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 99% to 97%. Trinidense won 1–0 at Nacional, and their Libertadores chances rose from 29% to 41%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Trinidense
- Libertad
- Cerro Porteño
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Trinidense | Libertad | Cerro Porteño |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 28% | 38% | 58% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 39% | 44% | 37% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 49% | 34% | 47% |
| 4 | 100% | 58% | 41% | 48% | 38% |
| 5 | 100% | 58% | 34% | 58% | 42% |
| 6 | 100% | 68% | 29% | 61% | 33% |
| 7 | 100% | 82% | 15% | 64% | 29% |
| 8 | 100% | 88% | 26% | 43% | 40% |
| 9 | 100% | 82% | 13% | 49% | 50% |
| 10 | 100% | 85% | 17% | 55% | 39% |
| 11 | 100% | 92% | 8% | 47% | 48% |
| 12 | 100% | 93% | 18% | 39% | 43% |
| 13 | 100% | 94% | 24% | 59% | 20% |
| 14 | 100% | 97% | 15% | 52% | 35% |
| 15 | 100% | 99% | 29% | 41% | 30% |
| 16 | 100% | 97% | 41% | 34% | 27% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 82 | 100%±0 | |
| 2 | 68 | 97%−2 pts | |
| 3 | 62 | 41%+12 pts | |
| 4 | 62 | 27%−3 pts | |
| 5 | 61 | 34%−7 pts | |
| 6 | 54 | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 52 | <1%±0 | |
| 8 | 51 | 0%±0 | |
| 9 | 40 | 0%±0 | |
| 10 | 36 | 0%±0 | |
| 11 | 36 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 19 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 16, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 15 below each.