Primera División odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 13 September 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Guaraní 1–1 Cerro Porteño moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Libertad49%55%+6 pts
Trinidense13%17%+4 pts
Nacional82%85%+3 pts
Down
Cerro Porteño50%39%−11 pts
Ameliano4%3%−1 pt
Libertad won 2–0 at 2 de Mayo, and their Libertadores chances rose from 49% to 55%. Cerro Porteño drew 1–1 at Guaraní, and their Libertadores chances fell from 50% to 39%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Guaraní 1–1 Cerro Porteño moved the odds the most. Cerro Porteño drew 1–1 at Guaraní, and their Libertadores chances fell from 50% to 39%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Libertad
- Cerro Porteño
- Trinidense
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Libertad | Cerro Porteño | Trinidense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 38% | 58% | 28% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 44% | 37% | 39% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 34% | 47% | 49% |
| 4 | 100% | 58% | 48% | 38% | 41% |
| 5 | 100% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 34% |
| 6 | 100% | 68% | 61% | 33% | 29% |
| 7 | 100% | 82% | 64% | 29% | 15% |
| 8 | 100% | 88% | 43% | 40% | 26% |
| 9 | 100% | 82% | 49% | 50% | 13% |
| 10 | 100% | 85% | 55% | 39% | 17% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  OlimpiaClub Olimpia | 68 | 100%±0 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional Asunción | 57 | 85%+3 pts |
| 3 | LibertadLibertad | 53 | 55%+6 pts |
| 4 | Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño | 52 | 39%−11 pts |
| 5 | TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense | 49 | 17%+4 pts |
| 6 | AmelianoSportivo Ameliano | 49 | 3%−1 pt |
| 7 |  GuaraníGuaraní | 43 | 1%±0 |
| 8 |  2 de Mayo2 de Mayo | 43 | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  Dep. RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta | 35 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  Rubio ÑúRubio Ñú | 31 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  LuqueñoSportivo Luqueño | 30 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  San LorenzoSportivo San Lorenzo | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.