Primera División odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 25 August 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Nacional 2–0 Luqueño moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Down
Cerro Porteño42%33%−9 pts
Trinidense34%29%−5 pts
Guaraní3%2%−1 pt
Nacional beat Luqueño 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 58% to 68%. Cerro Porteño lost 2–1 at Olimpia, and their Libertadores chances fell from 42% to 33%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Nacional 2–0 Luqueño moved the odds the most. Nacional beat Luqueño 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 58% to 68%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Libertad
- Cerro Porteño
- Trinidense
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Libertad | Cerro Porteño | Trinidense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 38% | 58% | 28% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 44% | 37% | 39% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 34% | 47% | 49% |
| 4 | 100% | 58% | 48% | 38% | 41% |
| 5 | 100% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 34% |
| 6 | 100% | 68% | 61% | 33% | 29% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58 | 100%±0 | |
| 2 | 48 | 68%+10 pts | |
| 3 | 46 | 61%+3 pts | |
| 4 | 44 | 33%−9 pts | |
| 5 | 43 | 29%−5 pts | |
| 6 | 42 | 7%+2 pts | |
| 7 | 37 | 2%−1 pt | |
| 8 | 36 | <1%±0 | |
| 9 | 35 | <1%−1 pt | |
| 10 | 28 | 0%±0 | |
| 11 | 26 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.