Primera División odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 10 August 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Libertad 2–1 Trinidense moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Libertad34%48%+14 pts
Ameliano3%6%+3 pts
Dep. Recoleta1%2%+1 pt
Down
Cerro Porteño47%38%−9 pts
Trinidense49%41%−8 pts
Nacional59%58%−1 pt
Libertad beat Trinidense 2–1 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 34% to 48%. Cerro Porteño lost 1–0 at Ameliano, and their Libertadores chances fell from 47% to 38%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Libertad 2–1 Trinidense moved the odds the most. Libertad beat Trinidense 2–1 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 34% to 48%. Trinidense lost 2–1 at Libertad, and their Libertadores chances fell from 49% to 41%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Libertad
- Trinidense
- Cerro Porteño
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Libertad | Trinidense | Cerro Porteño |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 38% | 28% | 58% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 44% | 39% | 37% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 34% | 49% | 47% |
| 4 | 100% | 58% | 48% | 41% | 38% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  OlimpiaClub Olimpia | 52 | 100%±0 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional Asunción | 44 | 58%−1 pt |
| 3 | TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense | 41 | 41%−8 pts |
| 4 | Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño | 41 | 38%−9 pts |
| 5 | LibertadLibertad | 40 | 48%+14 pts |
| 6 | AmelianoSportivo Ameliano | 39 | 6%+3 pts |
| 7 |  GuaraníGuaraní | 36 | 7%±0 |
| 8 | Dep. RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta | 35 | 2%+1 pt |
| 9 |  2 de Mayo2 de Mayo | 32 | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  LuqueñoSportivo Luqueño | 26 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  Rubio ÑúRubio Ñú | 24 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  San LorenzoSportivo San Lorenzo | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.