Primera División odds after Matchday 11
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Trinidense 0–1 Guaraní moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Cerro Porteño39%48%+9 pts
Nacional85%92%+7 pts
Down
Trinidense17%8%−9 pts
Libertad55%47%−8 pts
Cerro Porteño beat Rubio Ñú 1–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 39% to 48%. Trinidense lost 1–0 to Guaraní at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 17% to 8%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Trinidense 0–1 Guaraní moved the odds the most. Trinidense lost 1–0 to Guaraní at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 17% to 8%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Cerro Porteño
- Libertad
- Trinidense
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Cerro Porteño | Libertad | Trinidense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 58% | 38% | 28% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 37% | 44% | 39% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 47% | 34% | 49% |
| 4 | 100% | 58% | 38% | 48% | 41% |
| 5 | 100% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 34% |
| 6 | 100% | 68% | 33% | 61% | 29% |
| 7 | 100% | 82% | 29% | 64% | 15% |
| 8 | 100% | 88% | 40% | 43% | 26% |
| 9 | 100% | 82% | 50% | 49% | 13% |
| 10 | 100% | 85% | 39% | 55% | 17% |
| 11 | 100% | 92% | 48% | 47% | 8% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  OlimpiaClub Olimpia | 71 | 100%±0 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional Asunción | 60 | 92%+7 pts |
| 3 | Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño | 55 | 48%+9 pts |
| 4 | LibertadLibertad | 54 | 47%−8 pts |
| 5 |  AmelianoSportivo Ameliano | 50 | 3%±0 |
| 6 | TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense | 49 | 8%−9 pts |
| 7 |  GuaraníGuaraní | 46 | 1%±0 |
| 8 |  2 de Mayo2 de Mayo | 43 | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  Dep. RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta | 35 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  LuqueñoSportivo Luqueño | 33 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  Rubio ÑúRubio Ñú | 31 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  San LorenzoSportivo San Lorenzo | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.