Primera División odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 3 August 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Guaraní 2–1 Libertad moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Trinidense39%49%+10 pts
Cerro Porteño37%47%+10 pts
Guaraní5%7%+2 pts
Trinidense beat San Lorenzo 3–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 39% to 49%. Nacional lost 3–2 at Dep. Recoleta, and their Libertadores chances fell from 70% to 59%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Guaraní 2–1 Libertad moved the odds the most. Guaraní beat Libertad 2–1 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 5% to 7%. Libertad lost 2–1 at Guaraní, and their Libertadores chances fell from 44% to 34%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Trinidense
- Cerro Porteño
- Libertad
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Trinidense | Cerro Porteño | Libertad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 28% | 58% | 38% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 39% | 37% | 44% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 49% | 47% | 34% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  OlimpiaClub Olimpia | 52 | 100%±0 |
| 2 |  NacionalNacional Asunción | 43 | 59%−11 pts |
| 3 | TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense | 41 | 49%+10 pts |
| 4 | Cerro PorteñoCerro Porteño | 41 | 47%+10 pts |
| 5 |  LibertadLibertad | 37 | 34%−10 pts |
| 6 |  AmelianoSportivo Ameliano | 36 | 3%−2 pts |
| 7 | GuaraníGuaraní | 35 | 7%+2 pts |
| 8 |  Dep. RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta | 32 | 1%±0 |
| 9 |  2 de Mayo2 de Mayo | 29 | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  Rubio ÑúRubio Ñú | 24 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  LuqueñoSportivo Luqueño | 23 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  San LorenzoSportivo San Lorenzo | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.