Primera División odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 3 September 2026
Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Nacional 3–0 Libertad moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Cerro Porteño29%40%+11 pts
Trinidense15%26%+11 pts
Nacional82%88%+6 pts
Cerro Porteño won 3–1 at Dep. Recoleta, and their Libertadores chances rose from 29% to 40%. Libertad lost 3–0 at Nacional, and their Libertadores chances fell from 64% to 43%. Olimpia lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Nacional 3–0 Libertad moved the odds the most. Nacional beat Libertad 3–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 82% to 88%. Libertad lost 3–0 at Nacional, and their Libertadores chances fell from 64% to 43%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Olimpia
- Nacional
- Libertad
- Cerro Porteño
- Trinidense
Show as a table
| Round | Olimpia | Nacional | Libertad | Cerro Porteño | Trinidense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 61% | 38% | 58% | 28% |
| 2 | 100% | 70% | 44% | 37% | 39% |
| 3 | 100% | 59% | 34% | 47% | 49% |
| 4 | 100% | 58% | 48% | 38% | 41% |
| 5 | 100% | 58% | 58% | 42% | 34% |
| 6 | 100% | 68% | 61% | 33% | 29% |
| 7 | 100% | 82% | 64% | 29% | 15% |
| 8 | 100% | 88% | 43% | 40% | 26% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62 | 100%±0 | |
| 2 | 54 | 88%+6 pts | |
| 3 | 48 | 40%+11 pts | |
| 4 | 47 | 43%−21 pts | |
| 5 | 46 | 26%+11 pts | |
| 6 | 43 | 2%−6 pts | |
| 7 | 40 | <1%±0 | |
| 8 | 39 | 1%±0 | |
| 9 | 35 | <1%±0 | |
| 10 | 31 | 0%±0 | |
| 11 | 30 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 16 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.