League Two title odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 10 October 2026
Barnet lead the title race at 52%. Bristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Barnet40%52%+12 pts
Salford City9%13%+4 pts
Exeter6%8%+2 pts
Down
Rotherham6%1%−5 pts
Walsall11%8%−3 pts
Chesterfield7%4%−3 pts
Barnet won 3–1 at Bristol Rovers, and their title chances rose from 40% to 52%. Rotherham lost 4–1 to Gillingham at home, and their title chances fell from 6% to 1%. Barnet lead the title race at 52%.
Promotion
Up
- Barnet68%82%+14 pts
- Salford City29%43%+14 pts
Crewe23%32%+9 pts
Down
- Rotherham21%6%−15 pts
Grimsby23%15%−8 pts
Bristol Rovers8%3%−5 pts
Barnet won 3–1 at Bristol Rovers, and their promotion chances rose from 68% to 82%. Rotherham lost 4–1 to Gillingham at home, and their promotion chances fell from 21% to 6%.
Relegation
Up
Shrewsbury30%38%+8 pts
Tranmere9%12%+3 pts
Swindon4%7%+3 pts
Down
Newport20%11%−9 pts
Rochdale22%18%−4 pts
Gillingham5%1%−4 pts
Shrewsbury lost 1–0 to Exeter at home, and their relegation chances rose from 30% to 38%. Newport beat Colchester 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 20% to 11%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Bristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet moved the odds the most. Bristol Rovers lost 3–1 to Barnet at home, and their promotion chances fell from 8% to 3%. Barnet won 3–1 at Bristol Rovers, and their promotion chances rose from 68% to 82%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barnet
- Salford City
- Walsall
- Exeter
- Crewe
Show as a table
| Round | Barnet | Salford City | Walsall | Exeter | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 1% | 3% | 27% | 3% |
| 2 | 15% | <1% | 2% | 38% | 5% |
| 3 | 10% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 6% |
| 4 | 15% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 5% |
| 5 | 17% | <1% | 7% | 19% | 4% |
| 6 | 24% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 5% |
| 7 | 30% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 2% |
| 8 | 35% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 3% |
| 9 | 40% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 6% |
| 10 | 52% | 13% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford CitySalford City | 19 | 13%+4 pts | 43%+14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 | BarnetBarnet | 18 | 52%+12 pts | 82%+14 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | CreweCrewe Alexandra | 18 | 7%+1 pt | 32%+9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | GillinghamGillingham | 16 | 1%+1 pt | 7%+5 pts | 1%−4 pts |
| 5 |  York CityYork City | 15 | 1%−2 pts | 9%−4 pts | 1%±0 |
| 6 | WalsallWalsall | 15 | 8%−3 pts | 34%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 7 | ChesterfieldChesterfield | 15 | 4%−3 pts | 21%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  CheltenhamCheltenham Town | 15 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−4 pts | 5%+3 pts |
| 9 | Bristol RoversBristol Rovers | 15 | <1%−2 pts | 3%−5 pts | 3%+2 pts |
| 10 | RochdaleRochdale | 14 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%−4 pts |
| 11 | GrimsbyGrimsby Town | 13 | 3%−3 pts | 15%−8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 | NewportNewport County | 13 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−9 pts |
| 13 | TranmereTranmere Rovers | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 12%+3 pts |
| 14 | ExeterExeter City | 12 | 8%+2 pts | 31%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 15 |  AccringtonAccrington Stanley | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 10%−2 pts |
| 16 |  Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town | 11 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | 5%±0 |
| 17 | SwindonSwindon Town | 11 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−3 pts | 7%+3 pts |
| 18 | ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 38%+8 pts |
| 19 |  ColchesterColchester United | 10 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−2 pts | 5%+2 pts |
| 20 | RotherhamRotherham United | 10 | 1%−5 pts | 6%−15 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 21 |  OldhamOldham Athletic | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 8%+2 pts |
| 22 |  Port ValePort Vale | 8 | 1%±0 | 6%+2 pts | 2%−1 pt |
| 23 |  NorthamptonNorthampton Town | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 3%−1 pt | 3%±0 |
| 24 |  CrawleyCrawley Town | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 73%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.