League Two title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 26 September 2026
Barnet lead the title race at 35%. Oldham 1–4 Salford City moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Barnet30%35%+5 pts
Salford City1%6%+5 pts
Bristol Rovers1%3%+2 pts
Down
Grimsby24%16%−8 pts
Exeter7%4%−3 pts
Chesterfield7%4%−3 pts
Barnet didn't play, and their title chances rose from 30% to 35%. Grimsby lost 2–1 at Newport, and their title chances fell from 24% to 16%. Barnet lead the title race at 35%.
Promotion
Up
- Salford City6%21%+15 pts
York City5%11%+6 pts- Bristol Rovers7%12%+5 pts
Down
- Grimsby55%44%−11 pts
- Exeter26%19%−7 pts
- Chesterfield24%18%−6 pts
Salford City won 4–1 at Oldham, and their promotion chances rose from 6% to 21%. Grimsby lost 2–1 at Newport, and their promotion chances fell from 55% to 44%.
Relegation
Up
Shrewsbury44%51%+7 pts
Crawley62%67%+5 pts
Oldham1%5%+4 pts
Shrewsbury drew 2–2 with Colchester at home, and their relegation chances rose from 44% to 51%. Rochdale won 2–1 at Fleetwood Town, and their relegation chances fell from 41% to 26%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Oldham 1–4 Salford City moved the odds the most. Oldham lost 4–1 to Salford City at home, and their promotion chances fell from 7% to 2%. Salford City won 4–1 at Oldham, and their promotion chances rose from 6% to 21%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barnet
- Grimsby
- Walsall
- Rotherham
- Salford City
Show as a table
| Round | Barnet | Grimsby | Walsall | Rotherham | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 1% |
| 2 | 15% | 11% | 2% | 4% | <1% |
| 3 | 10% | 11% | 4% | 8% | <1% |
| 4 | 15% | 10% | 5% | 7% | <1% |
| 5 | 17% | 11% | 7% | 6% | <1% |
| 6 | 24% | 20% | 5% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 | 30% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 1% |
| 8 | 35% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 6% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BarnetBarnet | 15 | 35%+5 pts | 65%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 |  CheltenhamCheltenham Town | 15 | 2%+1 pt | 10%+4 pts | 1%±0 |
| 3 | Bristol RoversBristol Rovers | 15 | 3%+2 pts | 12%+5 pts | 1%±0 |
| 4 | York CityYork City | 14 | 3%+2 pts | 11%+6 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 5 |  WalsallWalsall | 14 | 10%±0 | 32%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 6 | GrimsbyGrimsby Town | 13 | 16%−8 pts | 44%−11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 | Salford CitySalford City | 13 | 6%+5 pts | 21%+15 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 8 |  GillinghamGillingham | 12 | 1%±0 | 3%−4 pts | 3%+2 pts |
| 9 |  CreweCrewe Alexandra | 12 | 3%+1 pt | 13%+3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  TranmereTranmere Rovers | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 5%+2 pts |
| 11 | ChesterfieldChesterfield | 11 | 4%−3 pts | 18%−6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  SwindonSwindon Town | 11 | 1%−1 pt | 5%−2 pts | 1%±0 |
| 13 |  RotherhamRotherham United | 10 | 8%−1 pt | 26%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 14 |  Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town | 10 | 1%−1 pt | 3%−5 pts | 3%+2 pts |
| 15 |  ColchesterColchester United | 10 | 1%±0 | 4%+1 pt | 2%±0 |
| 16 |  RochdaleRochdale | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 26%−15 pts |
| 17 |  NewportNewport County | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−8 pts |
| 18 | ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 51%+7 pts |
| 19 |  AccringtonAccrington Stanley | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%±0 |
| 20 | OldhamOldham Athletic | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−5 pts | 5%+4 pts |
| 21 | ExeterExeter City | 6 | 4%−3 pts | 19%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 22 |  NorthamptonNorthampton Town | 6 | 1%±0 | 4%±0 | 2%±0 |
| 23 |  Port ValePort Vale | 5 | 1%+1 pt | 4%+1 pt | 2%±0 |
| 24 | CrawleyCrawley Town | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 67%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.