League Two title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 29 August 2026
Exeter lead the title race at 25%. Oldham 3–0 Swindon moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Oldham6%19%+13 pts
Rotherham4%8%+4 pts
Colchester4%6%+2 pts
Oldham beat Swindon 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 6% to 19%. Exeter lost 2–1 at York City, and their title chances fell from 38% to 25%. Exeter lead the title race at 25%.
Promotion
Up
- Oldham23%47%+24 pts
- Rotherham17%26%+9 pts
- Colchester18%22%+4 pts
Oldham beat Swindon 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 23% to 47%. Exeter lost 2–1 at York City, and their promotion chances fell from 70% to 54%.
Relegation
Up
Crawley14%29%+15 pts
Rochdale57%62%+5 pts
Salford City2%5%+3 pts
Down
Shrewsbury52%38%−14 pts
York City7%3%−4 pts
Cheltenham9%6%−3 pts
Crawley lost 2–0 to Bristol Rovers at home, and their relegation chances rose from 14% to 29%. Shrewsbury beat Salford City 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 52% to 38%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Oldham 3–0 Swindon moved the odds the most. Oldham beat Swindon 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 23% to 47%. Swindon lost 3–0 at Oldham, and their promotion chances fell from 14% to 6%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Exeter
- Oldham
- Grimsby
- Barnet
- Rotherham
Show as a table
| Round | Exeter | Oldham | Grimsby | Barnet | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 8% |
| 2 | 38% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 4% |
| 3 | 25% | 19% | 11% | 10% | 8% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BarnetBarnet | 7 | 10%−5 pts | 30%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 |  WalsallWalsall | 7 | 4%+2 pts | 15%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | York CityYork City | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 3%−4 pts |
| 4 | ColchesterColchester United | 7 | 6%+2 pts | 22%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  CreweCrewe Alexandra | 7 | 6%+1 pt | 20%+2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | OldhamOldham Athletic | 6 | 19%+13 pts | 47%+24 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  Bristol RoversBristol Rovers | 6 | 1%+1 pt | 4%+3 pts | 1%−2 pts |
| 8 |  TranmereTranmere Rovers | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+1 pt |
| 9 |  Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town | 5 | 1%±0 | 6%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 10 |  GrimsbyGrimsby Town | 5 | 11%±0 | 31%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  NewportNewport County | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%+2 pts |
| 12 | CheltenhamCheltenham Town | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%−3 pts |
| 13 | RotherhamRotherham United | 4 | 8%+4 pts | 26%+9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 14 |  SwindonSwindon Town | 4 | 1%−2 pts | 6%−8 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 15 |  ExeterExeter City | 3 | 25%−13 pts | 54%−16 pts | <1%±0 |
| 16 |  ChesterfieldChesterfield | 3 | 2%±0 | 9%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 17 | CrawleyCrawley Town | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 29%+15 pts |
| 18 | ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 38%−14 pts |
| 19 |  NorthamptonNorthampton Town | 2 | 4%±0 | 16%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 20 |  Port ValePort Vale | 2 | 3%±0 | 13%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 21 |  GillinghamGillingham | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%−1 pt |
| 22 |  AccringtonAccrington Stanley | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%±0 |
| 23 | Salford CitySalford City | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%+3 pts |
| 24 | RochdaleRochdale | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 62%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.