League Two title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 12 September 2026
Barnet lead the title race at 24%. Shrewsbury 2–0 Northampton moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Grimsby11%20%+9 pts
Barnet17%24%+7 pts
Chesterfield1%5%+4 pts
Grimsby beat Bristol Rovers 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 11% to 20%. Exeter lost 1–0 at Port Vale, and their title chances fell from 19% to 13%. Barnet lead the title race at 24%.
Promotion
Up
- Grimsby31%48%+17 pts
- Barnet41%51%+10 pts
- Chesterfield6%16%+10 pts
Down
Swindon25%11%−14 pts
Oldham30%17%−13 pts
Northampton18%8%−10 pts
Grimsby beat Bristol Rovers 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 31% to 48%. Swindon lost 4–0 at York City, and their promotion chances fell from 25% to 11%.
Relegation
Down
Shrewsbury70%48%−22 pts
Rochdale66%60%−6 pts
Gillingham4%2%−2 pts
Crawley lost 3–1 to Cheltenham at home, and their relegation chances rose from 25% to 50%. Shrewsbury beat Northampton 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 70% to 48%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Shrewsbury 2–0 Northampton moved the odds the most. Shrewsbury beat Northampton 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 70% to 48%. Northampton lost 2–0 at Shrewsbury, and their promotion chances fell from 18% to 8%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barnet
- Grimsby
- Exeter
- Walsall
- Rotherham
Show as a table
| Round | Barnet | Grimsby | Exeter | Walsall | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 14% | 27% | 3% | 8% |
| 2 | 15% | 11% | 38% | 2% | 4% |
| 3 | 10% | 11% | 25% | 4% | 8% |
| 4 | 15% | 10% | 21% | 5% | 7% |
| 5 | 17% | 11% | 19% | 7% | 6% |
| 6 | 24% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BarnetBarnet | 12 | 24%+7 pts | 51%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 |  Bristol RoversBristol Rovers | 12 | 3%−2 pts | 13%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 |  York CityYork City | 11 | 2%+2 pts | 7%+6 pts | <1%−2 pts |
| 4 |  CheltenhamCheltenham Town | 11 | 1%+1 pt | 4%+3 pts | 1%−2 pts |
| 5 |  WalsallWalsall | 10 | 5%−2 pts | 18%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | GrimsbyGrimsby Town | 10 | 20%+9 pts | 48%+17 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town | 10 | 3%±0 | 12%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  CreweCrewe Alexandra | 10 | 5%+1 pt | 17%+2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 | SwindonSwindon Town | 10 | 3%−6 pts | 11%−14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  TranmereTranmere Rovers | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 4%+3 pts |
| 11 | GillinghamGillingham | 9 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 2%−2 pts |
| 12 | ChesterfieldChesterfield | 8 | 5%+4 pts | 16%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 13 |  ColchesterColchester United | 8 | 1%−1 pt | 6%−1 pt | 1%+1 pt |
| 14 | OldhamOldham Athletic | 7 | 5%−5 pts | 17%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 15 |  Salford CitySalford City | 7 | 1%+1 pt | 4%+2 pts | 1%±0 |
| 16 |  RotherhamRotherham United | 6 | 5%−1 pt | 17%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 17 | NorthamptonNorthampton Town | 6 | 2%−3 pts | 8%−10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 18 | ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 48%−22 pts |
| 19 |  NewportNewport County | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%+5 pts |
| 20 |  ExeterExeter City | 5 | 13%−6 pts | 37%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 21 |  AccringtonAccrington Stanley | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 8%+2 pts |
| 22 |  Port ValePort Vale | 5 | 2%+1 pt | 8%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 23 |  CrawleyCrawley Town | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 50%+25 pts |
| 24 | RochdaleRochdale | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 60%−6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.