League Two title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 22 August 2026
Exeter lead the title race at 38%. Shrewsbury 1–3 Barnet moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Oldham12%6%−6 pts
Northampton10%4%−6 pts
Rotherham8%4%−4 pts
Exeter beat Accrington 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 27% to 38%. Oldham lost 2–1 at Colchester, and their title chances fell from 12% to 6%. Exeter lead the title race at 38%.
Promotion
Down
- Northampton31%18%−13 pts
- Oldham34%23%−11 pts
- Rotherham27%17%−10 pts
Exeter beat Accrington 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 56% to 70%. Northampton lost 1–0 at Crewe, and their promotion chances fell from 31% to 18%.
Relegation
Up
Rochdale44%57%+13 pts
Shrewsbury41%52%+11 pts
Newport10%17%+7 pts
Down
Crawley30%14%−16 pts
York City14%7%−7 pts
Gillingham30%24%−6 pts
Rochdale lost 2–1 to Crawley at home, and their relegation chances rose from 44% to 57%. Crawley won 2–1 at Rochdale, and their relegation chances fell from 30% to 14%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Shrewsbury 1–3 Barnet moved the odds the most. Shrewsbury lost 3–1 to Barnet at home, and their relegation chances rose from 41% to 52%. Barnet won 3–1 at Shrewsbury, and their promotion chances rose from 29% to 43%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Exeter
- Barnet
- Grimsby
- Oldham
- Crewe
Show as a table
| Round | Exeter | Barnet | Grimsby | Oldham | Crewe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 3% |
| 2 | 38% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BarnetBarnet | 6 | 15%+6 pts | 43%+14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 |  CreweCrewe Alexandra | 6 | 5%+2 pts | 18%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 |  WalsallWalsall | 4 | 2%−1 pt | 11%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  TranmereTranmere Rovers | 4 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 4%−4 pts |
| 5 |  ColchesterColchester United | 4 | 4%+1 pt | 18%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | York CityYork City | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%−7 pts |
| 7 |  SwindonSwindon Town | 4 | 3%+1 pt | 14%+5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town | 4 | 1%±0 | 5%−1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 9 |  GrimsbyGrimsby Town | 4 | 11%−3 pts | 35%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  Bristol RoversBristol Rovers | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 3%−4 pts |
| 11 | NewportNewport County | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 17%+7 pts |
| 12 | OldhamOldham Athletic | 3 | 6%−6 pts | 23%−11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 13 |  ExeterExeter City | 3 | 38%+11 pts | 70%+14 pts | 0%±0 |
| 14 |  CheltenhamCheltenham Town | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%+1 pt |
| 15 | CrawleyCrawley Town | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 14%−16 pts |
| 16 |  ChesterfieldChesterfield | 3 | 2%+1 pt | 11%+5 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 17 | RotherhamRotherham United | 1 | 4%−4 pts | 17%−10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 18 | NorthamptonNorthampton Town | 1 | 4%−6 pts | 18%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 19 |  AccringtonAccrington Stanley | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 8%+2 pts |
| 20 |  Port ValePort Vale | 1 | 3%−3 pts | 15%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 21 | GillinghamGillingham | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 24%−6 pts |
| 22 |  Salford CitySalford City | 0 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−3 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 23 | RochdaleRochdale | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 57%+13 pts |
| 24 | ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 52%+11 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.