League Two title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 3 October 2026
Barnet lead the title race at 40%. Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Barnet35%40%+5 pts
Salford City6%9%+3 pts
Chesterfield4%7%+3 pts
Down
Grimsby16%6%−10 pts
Rotherham8%6%−2 pts
Bristol Rovers3%2%−1 pt
Barnet didn't play, and their title chances rose from 35% to 40%. Grimsby lost 2–1 to Shrewsbury at home, and their title chances fell from 16% to 6%. Barnet lead the title race at 40%.
Promotion
Up
Crewe13%23%+10 pts- Salford City21%29%+8 pts
- Chesterfield18%25%+7 pts
Down
- Grimsby44%23%−21 pts
- Rotherham26%21%−5 pts
- Bristol Rovers12%8%−4 pts
Crewe beat Bristol Rovers 3–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 13% to 23%. Grimsby lost 2–1 to Shrewsbury at home, and their promotion chances fell from 44% to 23%.
Relegation
Down
Shrewsbury51%30%−21 pts
Rochdale26%22%−4 pts
Accrington15%12%−3 pts
Crawley didn't play, and their relegation chances rose from 67% to 73%. Shrewsbury won 2–1 at Grimsby, and their relegation chances fell from 51% to 30%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Grimsby 1–2 Shrewsbury moved the odds the most. Grimsby lost 2–1 to Shrewsbury at home, and their promotion chances fell from 44% to 23%. Shrewsbury won 2–1 at Grimsby, and their relegation chances fell from 51% to 30%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barnet
- Walsall
- Salford City
- Chesterfield
- Exeter
Show as a table
| Round | Barnet | Walsall | Salford City | Chesterfield | Exeter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 27% |
| 2 | 15% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 38% |
| 3 | 10% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 25% |
| 4 | 15% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 21% |
| 5 | 17% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 19% |
| 6 | 24% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 13% |
| 7 | 30% | 10% | 1% | 7% | 7% |
| 8 | 35% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
| 9 | 40% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford CitySalford City | 16 | 9%+3 pts | 29%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 | BarnetBarnet | 15 | 40%+5 pts | 68%+3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | CreweCrewe Alexandra | 15 | 6%+3 pts | 23%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  CheltenhamCheltenham Town | 15 | 1%−1 pt | 6%−4 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 5 | Bristol RoversBristol Rovers | 15 | 2%−1 pt | 8%−4 pts | 1%±0 |
| 6 |  York CityYork City | 14 | 3%±0 | 13%+2 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 7 |  WalsallWalsall | 14 | 11%+1 pt | 35%+3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 | ChesterfieldChesterfield | 14 | 7%+3 pts | 25%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 | GrimsbyGrimsby Town | 13 | 6%−10 pts | 23%−21 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  GillinghamGillingham | 13 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−1 pt | 5%+2 pts |
| 11 | RochdaleRochdale | 13 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%−4 pts |
| 12 |  TranmereTranmere Rovers | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 9%+4 pts |
| 13 |  SwindonSwindon Town | 11 | 1%±0 | 4%−1 pt | 4%+3 pts |
| 14 | ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town | 11 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 30%−21 pts |
| 15 |  NewportNewport County | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%+4 pts |
| 16 | AccringtonAccrington Stanley | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 12%−3 pts |
| 17 | RotherhamRotherham United | 10 | 6%−2 pts | 21%−5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 18 |  Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town | 10 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−1 pt | 5%+2 pts |
| 19 |  ColchesterColchester United | 10 | 1%±0 | 4%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 20 |  ExeterExeter City | 9 | 6%+2 pts | 25%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 21 |  OldhamOldham Athletic | 7 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | 6%+1 pt |
| 22 |  NorthamptonNorthampton Town | 6 | 1%±0 | 4%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 23 |  Port ValePort Vale | 5 | 1%±0 | 4%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 24 |  CrawleyCrawley Town | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 73%+6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.