League Two title odds after Matchday 11

After the games up to 17 October 2026

Barnet lead the title race at 62%. Tranmere 1–2 Barnet moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Barnet52%62%+10 pts
Crewe7%8%+1 pt
Northampton<1%1%+1 pt

Down

Exeter8%5%−3 pts
Walsall8%6%−2 pts
Chesterfield4%2%−2 pts

Barnet won 2–1 at Tranmere, and their title chances rose from 52% to 62%. Exeter drew 0–0 at Colchester, and their title chances fell from 8% to 5%. Barnet lead the title race at 62%.

Promotion

Barnet82%89%+7 pts
Northampton3%10%+7 pts
Crewe32%37%+5 pts

Down

Grimsby15%7%−8 pts
Chesterfield21%16%−5 pts
Exeter31%27%−4 pts

Barnet won 2–1 at Tranmere, and their promotion chances rose from 82% to 89%. Grimsby lost 2–0 to Northampton at home, and their promotion chances fell from 15% to 7%.

Relegation

Tranmere12%18%+6 pts
Cheltenham5%9%+4 pts
Rochdale18%21%+3 pts

Down

Shrewsbury38%27%−11 pts
Accrington10%5%−5 pts
Oldham8%3%−5 pts

Tranmere lost 2–1 to Barnet at home, and their relegation chances rose from 12% to 18%. Shrewsbury beat Bristol Rovers 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 38% to 27%.

Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Tranmere Rovers

1–2

Barnet

Tranmere 1–2 Barnet moved the odds the most. Tranmere lost 2–1 to Barnet at home, and their relegation chances rose from 12% to 18%. Barnet won 2–1 at Tranmere, and their title chances rose from 52% to 62%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Barnet
Salford City
Crewe
Walsall
Exeter

Show as a table

Round	Barnet	Salford City	Crewe	Walsall	Exeter
1	9%	1%	3%	3%	27%
2	15%	<1%	5%	2%	38%
3	10%	<1%	6%	4%	25%
4	15%	<1%	5%	5%	21%
5	17%	<1%	4%	7%	19%
6	24%	1%	5%	5%	13%
7	30%	1%	2%	10%	7%
8	35%	6%	3%	10%	4%
9	40%	9%	6%	11%	6%
10	52%	13%	7%	8%	8%
11	62%	12%	8%	6%	5%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Salford CitySalford City	22	12%−1 pt	47%+4 pts	<1%±0
2	BarnetBarnet	21	62%+10 pts	89%+7 pts	0%±0
3	CreweCrewe Alexandra	21	8%+1 pt	37%+5 pts	<1%±0
4	York CityYork City	16	1%±0	8%−1 pt	1%±0
5	WalsallWalsall	16	6%−2 pts	32%−2 pts	<1%±0
6	GillinghamGillingham	16	<1%−1 pt	4%−3 pts	2%+1 pt
7	ChesterfieldChesterfield	15	2%−2 pts	16%−5 pts	<1%±0
8	CheltenhamCheltenham Town	15	<1%±0	1%−1 pt	9%+4 pts
9	Bristol RoversBristol Rovers	15	<1%±0	1%−2 pts	5%+2 pts
10	AccringtonAccrington Stanley	14	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	5%−5 pts
11	NewportNewport County	14	0%±0	<1%±0	14%+3 pts
12	Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town	14	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	2%−3 pts
13	RochdaleRochdale	14	<1%±0	<1%±0	21%+3 pts
14	ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town	14	0%±0	<1%±0	27%−11 pts
15	GrimsbyGrimsby Town	13	1%−2 pts	7%−8 pts	1%+1 pt
16	ExeterExeter City	13	5%−3 pts	27%−4 pts	<1%±0
17	TranmereTranmere Rovers	12	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	18%+6 pts
18	SwindonSwindon Town	12	<1%±0	1%±0	8%+1 pt
19	OldhamOldham Athletic	11	<1%±0	3%+2 pts	3%−5 pts
20	ColchesterColchester United	11	<1%±0	1%−1 pt	5%±0
21	Port ValePort Vale	11	1%±0	9%+3 pts	1%−1 pt
22	NorthamptonNorthampton Town	10	1%+1 pt	10%+7 pts	1%−2 pts
23	RotherhamRotherham United	10	<1%−1 pt	2%−4 pts	3%+2 pts
24	CrawleyCrawley Town	5	0%±0	<1%±0	75%+2 pts