League Two title odds after Matchday 5

After the games up to 5 September 2026

Exeter lead the title race at 19%. Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Swindon4%9%+5 pts
Bristol Rovers2%5%+3 pts
Barnet15%17%+2 pts

Down

Oldham19%10%−9 pts
Exeter21%19%−2 pts
Rotherham7%6%−1 pt

Swindon beat Colchester 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 4% to 9%. Oldham lost 2–0 at Tranmere, and their title chances fell from 19% to 10%. Exeter lead the title race at 19%.

Promotion

Swindon15%25%+10 pts
Bristol Rovers10%17%+7 pts
Fleetwood Town5%11%+6 pts

Down

Oldham47%30%−17 pts
Colchester13%7%−6 pts
Exeter49%44%−5 pts

Swindon beat Colchester 3–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 15% to 25%. Oldham lost 2–0 at Tranmere, and their promotion chances fell from 47% to 30%.

Relegation

Rochdale39%66%+27 pts
Shrewsbury64%70%+6 pts
Port Vale<1%1%+1 pt

Down

Gillingham22%4%−18 pts
Tranmere6%1%−5 pts
Accrington10%6%−4 pts

Rochdale lost 4–1 to Gillingham at home, and their relegation chances rose from 39% to 66%. Gillingham won 4–1 at Rochdale, and their relegation chances fell from 22% to 4%.

Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Rochdale

1–4

Gillingham

Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham moved the odds the most. Rochdale lost 4–1 to Gillingham at home, and their relegation chances rose from 39% to 66%. Gillingham won 4–1 at Rochdale, and their relegation chances fell from 22% to 4%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Exeter
Barnet
Grimsby
Oldham
Swindon

Show as a table

Round	Exeter	Barnet	Grimsby	Oldham	Swindon
1	27%	9%	14%	12%	2%
2	38%	15%	11%	6%	3%
3	25%	10%	11%	19%	1%
4	21%	15%	10%	19%	4%
5	19%	17%	11%	10%	9%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Bristol RoversBristol Rovers	12	5%+3 pts	17%+7 pts	<1%±0
2	SwindonSwindon Town	10	9%+5 pts	25%+10 pts	<1%±0
3	BarnetBarnet	9	17%+2 pts	41%+2 pts	0%±0
4	TranmereTranmere Rovers	9	<1%±0	2%+2 pts	1%−5 pts
5	WalsallWalsall	9	7%+2 pts	22%+4 pts	<1%±0
6	Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town	9	3%+2 pts	11%+6 pts	<1%−1 pt
7	CreweCrewe Alexandra	9	4%−1 pt	15%−4 pts	<1%±0
8	CheltenhamCheltenham Town	8	<1%±0	1%±0	3%−1 pt
9	York CityYork City	8	<1%±0	1%±0	2%−2 pts
10	OldhamOldham Athletic	7	10%−9 pts	30%−17 pts	<1%±0
11	GrimsbyGrimsby Town	7	11%+1 pt	31%±0	<1%±0
12	ColchesterColchester United	7	2%−1 pt	7%−6 pts	<1%±0
13	GillinghamGillingham	6	<1%±0	1%+1 pt	4%−18 pts
14	NorthamptonNorthampton Town	6	5%+2 pts	18%+5 pts	<1%±0
15	Salford CitySalford City	6	<1%±0	2%+1 pt	1%−2 pts
16	ExeterExeter City	5	19%−2 pts	44%−5 pts	0%±0
17	RotherhamRotherham United	5	6%−1 pt	20%−4 pts	<1%±0
18	ChesterfieldChesterfield	5	1%±0	6%±0	<1%−1 pt
19	AccringtonAccrington Stanley	5	<1%±0	<1%±0	6%−4 pts
20	NewportNewport County	4	0%±0	<1%±0	19%−3 pts
21	CrawleyCrawley Town	4	0%±0	<1%±0	25%±0
22	RochdaleRochdale	3	0%±0	0%±0	66%+27 pts
23	ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town	3	0%±0	0%±0	70%+6 pts
24	Port ValePort Vale	2	1%±0	4%−3 pts	1%+1 pt