League Two title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 19 September 2026
Barnet lead the title race at 30%. Rochdale 2–0 Oldham moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Barnet beat Fleetwood Town 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 24% to 30%. Exeter drew 0–0 with Tranmere at home, and their title chances fell from 13% to 7%. Barnet lead the title race at 30%.
Promotion
Walsall beat Port Vale 2–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 18% to 31%. Exeter drew 0–0 with Tranmere at home, and their promotion chances fell from 37% to 26%.
Relegation
Up
Crawley50%62%+12 pts
Accrington8%15%+7 pts
Northampton<1%2%+2 pts
Down
Rochdale60%41%−19 pts
Shrewsbury48%44%−4 pts
Tranmere4%3%−1 pt
Crawley lost 2–0 at Grimsby, and their relegation chances rose from 50% to 62%. Rochdale beat Oldham 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 60% to 41%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Rochdale 2–0 Oldham moved the odds the most. Rochdale beat Oldham 2–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 60% to 41%. Oldham lost 2–0 at Rochdale, and their promotion chances fell from 17% to 7%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Barnet
- Grimsby
- Walsall
- Rotherham
- Exeter
Show as a table
| Round | Barnet | Grimsby | Walsall | Rotherham | Exeter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 27% |
| 2 | 15% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 38% |
| 3 | 10% | 11% | 4% | 8% | 25% |
| 4 | 15% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 21% |
| 5 | 17% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 19% |
| 6 | 24% | 20% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| 7 | 30% | 24% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BarnetBarnet | 15 | 30%+6 pts | 61%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  WalsallWalsall | 13 | 10%+5 pts | 31%+13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 |  GrimsbyGrimsby Town | 13 | 24%+4 pts | 55%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  GillinghamGillingham | 12 | 1%+1 pt | 7%+5 pts | 1%−1 pt |
| 5 |  CheltenhamCheltenham Town | 12 | 1%±0 | 6%+2 pts | 1%±0 |
| 6 |  Bristol RoversBristol Rovers | 12 | 1%−2 pts | 7%−6 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 7 |  York CityYork City | 11 | 1%−1 pt | 5%−2 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 8 |  ChesterfieldChesterfield | 11 | 7%+2 pts | 24%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  CreweCrewe Alexandra | 11 | 2%−3 pts | 10%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 | TranmereTranmere Rovers | 10 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 3%−1 pt |
| 11 |  Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town | 10 | 2%−1 pt | 8%−4 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 12 |  Salford CitySalford City | 10 | 1%±0 | 6%+2 pts | 1%±0 |
| 13 |  SwindonSwindon Town | 10 | 2%−1 pt | 7%−4 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 14 |  RotherhamRotherham United | 9 | 9%+4 pts | 29%+12 pts | <1%±0 |
| 15 |  ColchesterColchester United | 9 | 1%±0 | 3%−3 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 16 |  OldhamOldham Athletic | 7 | 1%−4 pts | 7%−10 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 17 | RochdaleRochdale | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 41%−19 pts |
| 18 | ShrewsburyShrewsbury Town | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 44%−4 pts |
| 19 |  NewportNewport County | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%±0 |
| 20 |  ExeterExeter City | 6 | 7%−6 pts | 26%−11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 21 | AccringtonAccrington Stanley | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 15%+7 pts |
| 22 | NorthamptonNorthampton Town | 6 | 1%−1 pt | 4%−4 pts | 2%+2 pts |
| 23 |  Port ValePort Vale | 5 | <1%−2 pts | 3%−5 pts | 2%+2 pts |
| 24 | CrawleyCrawley Town | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 62%+12 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.