League Two title odds after Matchday 13
After the games up to 26 October 2026
Salford City lead the title race at 41%. Walsall 2–4 Salford City moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Salford City21%41%+20 pts
Chesterfield1%4%+3 pts
Exeter11%12%+1 pt
Salford City won 4–2 at Walsall, and their title chances rose from 21% to 41%. Walsall lost 4–2 to Salford City at home, and their title chances fell from 17% to 6%. Salford City lead the title race at 41%.
Promotion
Up
Salford City59%77%+18 pts
Chesterfield10%20%+10 pts
Grimsby6%13%+7 pts
Salford City won 4–2 at Walsall, and their promotion chances rose from 59% to 77%. Walsall lost 4–2 to Salford City at home, and their promotion chances fell from 50% to 28%.
Relegation
Up
Rochdale23%45%+22 pts
Colchester4%7%+3 pts
Gillingham3%5%+2 pts
Down
Shrewsbury17%10%−7 pts
Oldham7%3%−4 pts
Accrington5%1%−4 pts
Rochdale lost 5–0 to Accrington at home, and their relegation chances rose from 23% to 45%. Shrewsbury drew 3–3 at Rotherham, and their relegation chances fell from 17% to 10%.
Changes since Matchday 12, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Walsall 2–4 Salford City moved the odds the most. Walsall lost 4–2 to Salford City at home, and their promotion chances fell from 50% to 28%. Salford City won 4–2 at Walsall, and their title chances rose from 21% to 41%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Salford City
- Barnet
- Exeter
- Walsall
- Chesterfield
Show as a table
| Round | Salford City | Barnet | Exeter | Walsall | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1% | 9% | 27% | 3% | 1% |
| 2 | <1% | 15% | 38% | 2% | 2% |
| 3 | <1% | 10% | 25% | 4% | 2% |
| 4 | <1% | 15% | 21% | 5% | 1% |
| 5 | <1% | 17% | 19% | 7% | 1% |
| 6 | 1% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 5% |
| 7 | 1% | 30% | 7% | 10% | 7% |
| 8 | 6% | 35% | 4% | 10% | 4% |
| 9 | 9% | 40% | 6% | 11% | 7% |
| 10 | 13% | 52% | 8% | 8% | 4% |
| 11 | 12% | 62% | 5% | 6% | 2% |
| 12 | 21% | 38% | 11% | 17% | 1% |
| 13 | 41% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 41%+20 pts | 77%+18 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 22 | 29%−9 pts | 67%−6 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 3 | 21 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | 2%−3 pts | |
| 4 | 21 | 2%−4 pts | 11%−15 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 20 | 2%+1 pt | 11%+5 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 6 | 19 | 6%−11 pts | 28%−22 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 19 | 4%+3 pts | 20%+10 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 8 | 19 | 12%+1 pt | 45%+4 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 9 | 18 | 1%+1 pt | 7%+6 pts | 1%−4 pts | |
| 10 | 18 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%−7 pts | |
| 11 | 17 | 2%+1 pt | 13%+7 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 12 | 17 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | 5%+2 pts | |
| 13 | 16 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 8%−1 pt | |
| 14 | 16 | <1%±0 | 3%−1 pt | 2%±0 | |
| 15 | 16 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 9%±0 | |
| 16 | 15 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 13%±0 | |
| 17 | 15 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 45%+22 pts | |
| 18 | 14 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 5%+1 pt | |
| 19 | 13 | 1%±0 | 7%+3 pts | 1%−1 pt | |
| 20 | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%−4 pts | |
| 21 | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 7%+3 pts | |
| 22 | 12 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 5%±0 | |
| 23 | 12 | <1%−1 pt | 4%−5 pts | 1%±0 | |
| 24 | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 84%−3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 13, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 12 below each.