J1 League title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 9 August 2026
Kashima lead the title race at 29%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- Kashima
- Kashiwa
- Sanfreece
- Machida Zelvia
- Vissel Kobe
Show as a table
| Round | Kashima | Kashiwa | Sanfreece | Machida Zelvia | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 8% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia | 3 | 15% | 46% | <1% |
| 2 |  SanfreeceSanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 18% | 52% | <1% |
| 3 |  Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 3 | 1% | 6% | 3% |
| 4 |  KashimaKashima Antlers | 3 | 29% | 64% | 0% |
| 5 |  Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka | 3 | 2% | 9% | 2% |
| 6 |  KashiwaKashiwa Reysol | 3 | 19% | 53% | <1% |
| 7 |  V-VarenV-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| 8 |  ShimizuShimizu S-Pulse | 3 | <1% | 2% | 8% |
| 9 |  Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 3 | 8% | 30% | <1% |
| 10 |  KawasakiKawasaki Frontale | 1 | 2% | 9% | 2% |
| 11 |  Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy 1969 | 1 | 0% | <1% | 45% |
| 12 |  Urawa RedsUrawa Red Diamonds | 0 | 1% | 5% | 4% |
| 13 |  Yokohama FMYokohama F. Marinos | 0 | <1% | 2% | 7% |
| 14 |  OkayamaFagiano Okayama | 0 | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| 15 |  Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga | 0 | 5% | 20% | <1% |
| 16 |  Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock | 0 | <1% | <1% | 44% |
| 17 |  A FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka | 0 | <1% | 1% | 16% |
| 18 |  NagoyaNagoya Grampus | 0 | <1% | <1% | 29% |
| 19 |  JEF Utd ChibaJEF United Ichihara-Chiba | 0 | 0% | <1% | 61% |
| 20 |  TokyoFC Tokyo | 0 | <1% | <1% | 31% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.