J1 League title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 15 August 2026
Sanfreece lead the title race at 26%. JEF Utd Chiba 0–4 Machida Zelvia moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Sanfreece18%26%+8 pts
Machida Zelvia15%22%+7 pts
Kashiwa19%22%+3 pts
Down
Kashima29%22%−7 pts
Vissel Kobe8%3%−5 pts
Kyoto Sanga5%2%−3 pts
Sanfreece won 4–1 at Urawa Reds, and their title chances rose from 18% to 26%. Kashima beat Nagoya 2–1 at home, and their title chances fell from 29% to 22%. Sanfreece lead the title race at 26%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
Sanfreece52%66%+14 pts
Machida Zelvia46%60%+14 pts
Kashiwa53%60%+7 pts
Down
Vissel Kobe30%18%−12 pts
Cerezo Osaka9%2%−7 pts
Kyoto Sanga20%14%−6 pts
Sanfreece won 4–1 at Urawa Reds, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 52% to 66%. Vissel Kobe drew 2–2 with Tokyo at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 30% to 18%.
Relegation
Up
JEF Utd Chiba61%76%+15 pts
Tokyo Verdy45%52%+7 pts
V-Varen23%28%+5 pts
JEF Utd Chiba lost 4–0 to Machida Zelvia at home, and their relegation chances rose from 61% to 76%. A Fukuoka beat Cerezo Osaka 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 16% to 3%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
JEF Utd Chiba 0–4 Machida Zelvia moved the odds the most. JEF Utd Chiba lost 4–0 to Machida Zelvia at home, and their relegation chances rose from 61% to 76%. Machida Zelvia won 4–0 at JEF Utd Chiba, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 46% to 60%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Sanfreece
- Machida Zelvia
- Kashiwa
- Kashima
- Vissel Kobe
Show as a table
| Round | Sanfreece | Machida Zelvia | Kashiwa | Kashima | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 15% | 19% | 29% | 8% |
| 2 | 26% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 3% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 22%+7 pts | 60%+14 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 26%+8 pts | 66%+14 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 22%+3 pts | 60%+7 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 22%−7 pts | 62%−2 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 5 | 4 | <1%−1 pt | 3%−3 pts | 3%±0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 3%−5 pts | 18%−12 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 3 | <1%±0 | 3%+2 pts | 3%−13 pts | |
| 8 | 3 | <1%±0 | 3%+1 pt | 3%−4 pts | |
| 9 | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 13%−10 pts | |
| 10 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%+5 pts | |
| 11 | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 13%+5 pts | |
| 12 | 3 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−7 pts | 6%+4 pts | |
| 13 | 2 | 1%−1 pt | 6%−3 pts | 2%±0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 2%−3 pts | 14%−6 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 15 | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 40%−4 pts | |
| 16 | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 52%+7 pts | |
| 17 | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%−11 pts | |
| 18 | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%+3 pts | |
| 19 | 0 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−4 pts | 7%+3 pts | |
| 20 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 76%+15 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.