J1 League title odds after Matchday 3

After the games up to 23 August 2026

Machida Zelvia lead the title race at 31%. Kyoto Sanga 1–3 Mito Hollyhock moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Machida Zelvia22%31%+9 pts
Kashima22%26%+4 pts
Kashiwa22%23%+1 pt

Down

Sanfreece26%17%−9 pts
Vissel Kobe3%1%−2 pts
Kyoto Sanga2%<1%−2 pts

Machida Zelvia beat Urawa Reds 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 22% to 31%. Sanfreece drew 1–1 with Kawasaki at home, and their title chances fell from 26% to 17%. Machida Zelvia lead the title race at 31%.

AFC Champions League Elite

Machida Zelvia60%74%+14 pts
Kashima62%69%+7 pts
Kashiwa60%64%+4 pts

Down

Sanfreece66%56%−10 pts
Kyoto Sanga14%5%−9 pts
Vissel Kobe18%10%−8 pts

Machida Zelvia beat Urawa Reds 3–1 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 60% to 74%. Sanfreece drew 1–1 with Kawasaki at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 66% to 56%.

Relegation

JEF Utd Chiba76%87%+11 pts
V-Varen28%37%+9 pts
Shimizu13%19%+6 pts

Down

Mito Hollyhock40%19%−21 pts
Nagoya32%16%−16 pts
Tokyo20%15%−5 pts

JEF Utd Chiba lost 2–0 at Tokyo, and their relegation chances rose from 76% to 87%. Mito Hollyhock won 3–1 at Kyoto Sanga, and their relegation chances fell from 40% to 19%.

Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Kyoto Sanga

1–3

Mito Hollyhock

Kyoto Sanga 1–3 Mito Hollyhock moved the odds the most. Kyoto Sanga lost 3–1 to Mito Hollyhock at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 14% to 5%. Mito Hollyhock won 3–1 at Kyoto Sanga, and their relegation chances fell from 40% to 19%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Machida Zelvia
Kashima
Kashiwa
Sanfreece
Vissel Kobe

Show as a table

Round	Machida Zelvia	Kashima	Kashiwa	Sanfreece	Vissel Kobe
1	15%	29%	19%	18%	8%
2	22%	22%	22%	26%	3%
3	31%	26%	23%	17%	1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite	RelegationRelegation
1	Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia	9	31%+9 pts	74%+14 pts	0%±0
2	KashiwaKashiwa Reysol	9	23%+1 pt	64%+4 pts	0%±0
3	KashimaKashima Antlers	9	26%+4 pts	69%+7 pts	0%±0
4	SanfreeceSanfrecce Hiroshima	7	17%−9 pts	56%−10 pts	0%±0
5	Yokohama FMYokohama F. Marinos	6	<1%±0	6%+3 pts	1%−2 pts
6	Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka	6	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	3%−3 pts
7	Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock	4	0%±0	<1%±0	19%−21 pts
8	Vissel KobeVissel Kobe	4	1%−2 pts	10%−8 pts	1%+1 pt
9	OkayamaFagiano Okayama	4	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	17%+4 pts
10	Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka	4	<1%±0	1%−2 pts	8%+5 pts
11	TokyoFC Tokyo	4	0%±0	<1%±0	15%−5 pts
12	A FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka	3	<1%±0	2%−1 pt	5%+2 pts
13	KawasakiKawasaki Frontale	3	1%±0	7%+1 pt	1%−1 pt
14	NagoyaNagoya Grampus	3	0%±0	<1%±0	16%−16 pts
15	ShimizuShimizu S-Pulse	3	0%±0	<1%±0	19%+6 pts
16	V-VarenV-Varen Nagasaki	3	0%±0	<1%±0	37%+9 pts
17	Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy 1969	2	0%±0	<1%±0	57%+5 pts
18	Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga	1	<1%−2 pts	5%−9 pts	2%+1 pt
19	Urawa RedsUrawa Red Diamonds	0	<1%±0	1%±0	12%+5 pts
20	JEF Utd ChibaJEF United Ichihara-Chiba	0	0%±0	0%±0	87%+11 pts