J1 League title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 13 September 2026
Machida Zelvia lead the title race at 43%. Sanfreece 6–1 Cerezo Osaka moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Sanfreece15%27%+12 pts
Kashiwa7%10%+3 pts
Vissel Kobe9%10%+1 pt
Down
Machida Zelvia56%43%−13 pts
Kashima9%5%−4 pts
Urawa Reds1%<1%−1 pt
Sanfreece beat Cerezo Osaka 6–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 15% to 27%. Machida Zelvia drew 1–1 with Yokohama FM at home, and their title chances fell from 56% to 43%. Machida Zelvia lead the title race at 43%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
- Sanfreece53%68%+15 pts
- Kashiwa35%41%+6 pts
- Vissel Kobe39%44%+5 pts
Down
- Kashima40%26%−14 pts
- Machida Zelvia87%80%−7 pts
- Urawa Reds8%3%−5 pts
Sanfreece beat Cerezo Osaka 6–1 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 53% to 68%. Kashima lost 2–1 at Vissel Kobe, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 40% to 26%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Sanfreece 6–1 Cerezo Osaka moved the odds the most. Sanfreece beat Cerezo Osaka 6–1 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 53% to 68%. Cerezo Osaka lost 6–1 at Sanfreece, and their relegation chances rose from 1% to 5%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Machida Zelvia
- Sanfreece
- Vissel Kobe
- Kashiwa
- Kashima
Show as a table
| Round | Machida Zelvia | Sanfreece | Vissel Kobe | Kashiwa | Kashima |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 18% | 8% | 19% | 29% |
| 2 | 22% | 26% | 3% | 22% | 22% |
| 3 | 31% | 17% | 1% | 23% | 26% |
| 4 | 23% | 11% | 1% | 29% | 33% |
| 5 | 33% | 26% | 5% | 17% | 16% |
| 6 | 56% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 9% |
| 7 | 43% | 27% | 10% | 10% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia | 17 | 43%−13 pts | 80%−7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 16 | 10%+1 pt | 44%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | KashiwaKashiwa Reysol | 15 | 10%+3 pts | 41%+6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | SanfreeceSanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 27%+12 pts | 68%+15 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  TokyoFC Tokyo | 14 | 1%+1 pt | 9%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 6 |  OkayamaFagiano Okayama | 13 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 2%−3 pts |
| 7 |  KawasakiKawasaki Frontale | 12 | 3%+1 pt | 17%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 | KashimaKashima Antlers | 12 | 5%−4 pts | 26%−14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  Yokohama FMYokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 1%±0 | 9%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka | 10 | <1%±0 | 1%−3 pts | 5%+4 pts |
| 11 |  Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 7%+3 pts |
| 12 | Urawa RedsUrawa Red Diamonds | 9 | <1%−1 pt | 3%−5 pts | 1%±0 |
| 13 |  ShimizuShimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%−11 pts |
| 14 |  V-VarenV-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 41%−20 pts |
| 15 |  Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%+8 pts |
| 16 |  NagoyaNagoya Grampus | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+12 pts |
| 17 |  Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | 3%+1 pt |
| 18 |  A FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%+8 pts |
| 19 |  Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy 1969 | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 76%±0 |
| 20 |  JEF Utd ChibaJEF United Ichihara-Chiba | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 75%−1 pt |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.