J1 League title odds after Matchday 13
After the games up to 1 November 2026Latest
Machida Zelvia lead the title race at 31%. JEF Utd Chiba 3–0 A Fukuoka moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
Machida Zelvia50%31%−19 pts
Kawasaki1%<1%−1 pt
Tokyo won 4–0 at Okayama, and their title chances rose from 10% to 18%. Machida Zelvia drew 0–0 with Gamba Osaka at home, and their title chances fell from 50% to 31%. Machida Zelvia lead the title race at 31%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
Tokyo47%58%+11 pts
Kashiwa48%55%+7 pts
Vissel Kobe26%28%+2 pts
Down
- Machida Zelvia87%74%−13 pts
- Kawasaki10%3%−7 pts
Urawa Reds2%<1%−2 pts
Tokyo won 4–0 at Okayama, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 47% to 58%. Machida Zelvia drew 0–0 with Gamba Osaka at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 87% to 74%.
Relegation
Up
A Fukuoka45%64%+19 pts
Mito Hollyhock48%57%+9 pts
V-Varen15%22%+7 pts
Down
JEF Utd Chiba70%48%−22 pts
Tokyo Verdy76%55%−21 pts
Gamba Osaka12%8%−4 pts
A Fukuoka lost 3–0 at JEF Utd Chiba, and their relegation chances rose from 45% to 64%. JEF Utd Chiba beat A Fukuoka 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 70% to 48%.
Changes since Matchday 12, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
JEF Utd Chiba 3–0 A Fukuoka moved the odds the most. JEF Utd Chiba beat A Fukuoka 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 70% to 48%. A Fukuoka lost 3–0 at JEF Utd Chiba, and their relegation chances rose from 45% to 64%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Machida Zelvia
- Sanfreece
- Tokyo
- Kashiwa
- Vissel Kobe
Show as a table
| Round | Machida Zelvia | Sanfreece | Tokyo | Kashiwa | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15% | 18% | <1% | 19% | 8% |
| 2 | 22% | 26% | <1% | 22% | 3% |
| 3 | 31% | 17% | 0% | 23% | 1% |
| 4 | 23% | 11% | <1% | 29% | 1% |
| 5 | 33% | 26% | <1% | 17% | 5% |
| 6 | 56% | 15% | <1% | 7% | 9% |
| 7 | 43% | 27% | 1% | 10% | 10% |
| 8 | 21% | 34% | 1% | 20% | 15% |
| 9 | 24% | 38% | 2% | 25% | 6% |
| 10 | 30% | 45% | 5% | 7% | 9% |
| 11 | 61% | 17% | 5% | 7% | 6% |
| 12 | 50% | 23% | 10% | 11% | 4% |
| 13 | 31% | 28% | 18% | 16% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TokyoFC Tokyo | 30 | 18%+8 pts | 58%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  SanfreeceSanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 28%+5 pts | 69%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia | 28 | 31%−19 pts | 74%−13 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | KashiwaKashiwa Reysol | 28 | 16%+5 pts | 55%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 26 | 5%+1 pt | 28%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  KashimaKashima Antlers | 23 | 1%±0 | 11%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 7 | KawasakiKawasaki Frontale | 22 | <1%−1 pt | 3%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  Yokohama FMYokohama F. Marinos | 21 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 9 | Urawa RedsUrawa Red Diamonds | 21 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  OkayamaFagiano Okayama | 16 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 9%+5 pts |
| 11 |  NagoyaNagoya Grampus | 14 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+1 pt |
| 12 |  Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 11%+3 pts |
| 13 |  ShimizuShimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 20%+4 pts |
| 14 |  Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga | 13 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 15 | V-VarenV-Varen Nagasaki | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 22%+7 pts |
| 16 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 8%−4 pts |
| 17 | Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy 1969 | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 55%−21 pts |
| 18 | JEF Utd ChibaJEF United Ichihara-Chiba | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 48%−22 pts |
| 19 | Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 57%+9 pts |
| 20 | A FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 64%+19 pts |
Chances after Matchday 13, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 12 below each.